UFC Fight Night: Tavares vs Rodrigues Best Bets and Predictions

This weekend on the UFC fight schedule, we have a card full of awesome matchups, especially in the middleweight division. One of these upcoming UFC fights is this one between Brad Tavares and Gregory Rodrigues on this weekend’s main card.

UFC bets on this weekend’s card.

Brad Tavares vs Gregory Rodrigues Information

Brad Tavares vs Gregory Rodrigues

Location of the game: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States

Date & Time: February 10, 2024. 7 PM ET main card start

How to Watch: ESPN+

Last Fight Record

Tavares is coming off a unanimous decision victory over Chris Weidman at UFC 292 in August.

Rodrigues is coming off a big first-round KO win over Denis Tiuiliulin at UFC 292 in August as well.

Brad Tavares vs Gregory Rodrigues Betting Analysis

Brad Tavares

Tavares is an American mixed martial artist with a 20-8 professional MMA record, including 5 TKO/KO wins and 2 submissions. He currently has the second most wins in UFC middleweight history (15) and has almost five hours worth of fight time in the company.

The Hawaii native is a 6’1” orthodox fighter with a 74” reach. He averages 3.38 significant strikes landed per minute while absorbing 3.03 per minute. He has a solid 56% striking defense and 82% takedown defense to tie his game together and remain one of the most solid all-around UFC fighters on the roster.

Gregory Rodrigues

Rodrigues is a Brazilian professional MMA fighter with a record of 14-5 with 9 TKO/KO wins and 3 submissions under his belt at the age of 31. He is a black belt in BJJ with eight National BJJ Championships and he was also the former LFA and Smash Global middleweight champion before signing with the UFC. In the UFC, he has collected three post-fight performance bonus checks.

“RoboCop” is one of the most dangerous fighters pound-for-pound in the entire company. He is a 6’3” orthodox striker with a 75” reach and averages a whopping 5.99 significant strikes landed per minute inside the octagon. He lands those strikes at a 55% clip and also averages 2.40 takedowns per 15 minutes. To top it off, he still holds a stingy 100% takedown defense in the UFC.

Updates

No injuries were reported to the UFC or ESPN.

Tavares vs Rodrigues Betting Preview

The betting lines and stats might point you in a certain direction for this Tavares vs Rodrigues prediction, but studying film will show you all you need to know about these two elite fighters.

Starting with the available UFC odds this week, Tavares is coming into this week in the underdog role with betting odds of +200 against ‘RoboCop’ at -235 as the betting favorite. Rodrigues is at +140 to win inside the distance and Tavares is +375 to do the same.

The over/under is set at 2.5 rounds with EVEN odds at BetUS, which might be the most interesting bet available for this middleweight bout. This bout is also favored to end inside the distance at -130.

Stylistically, this could be a pretty fun fight to watch for fans. Tavares has a modified Muay Thai style where he starts everything with low kicks and front kicks to the body of his opponents. These control the distance for him and set up more attacks as the fight goes on.

Rodrigues is a grappler who has fallen in love with striking and knocking people out. He is very tough, and durable, and will never give up unless he’s unconscious. He fights with not much thought, just going forward and looking to land the KO shot before he gets hurt himself–it’s very similar to the style that Charles Oliveira adopted during his legendary run as champion.

Brad Tavares vs Gregory Rodrigues Best Bets and Prediction

This might be the quickest fight this weekend on the UFC schedule. The official Tavares vs Rodrigues prediction is that Rodrigues will win by KO in the first or second round. 

Take the under 2.5 rounds and Rodrigues to win inside the distance at +140. This is a great chance to hit both in a couple of minutes. Tavares is tough and he’s a smart fighter, but Rodrigues is always worth the bet because he is arguably the most dangerous middleweight around right now.

• Picks: Under 2.5 rounds & Rodrigues by KO +140.

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