UFC Fight Night: Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs Shamil Gaziev Prediction

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28 February 2024

UFC Fight Night: Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs Shamil Gaziev Prediction

Another APEX event is coming this weekend on the UFC fight schedule with a heavyweight headliner between Jairzinho Rozenstruik and Shamil Gaziev. Will Gaziev prove that he is ready for the top 15 of the heavyweight division? Or will Rozenstruik be able to get back in the winning column?

Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev Picks

Pick: Rozenstruik +135

Read more about the scores and odds around this fight and our official Rozenstruik vs Gaziev prediction ahead of placing any UFC bets on this weekend’s card.

Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs Shamil Gaziev Information

Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs Shamil Gaziev

Location of the game: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States

Date & Time: March 02, 2024.4 PM ET main card start

How to Watch: ESPN+

Last Fight Record

Rozenstruik is coming off a submission loss to the dangerous Jailton Almeida last May.

Gaziev is coming off a second-round TKO win over Martin Buday in December at UFC 296.

Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs Shamil Gaziev Betting Analysis

Jair Rozenstruik

Rozenstruik is a Surinamese mixed martial artist with a professional MMA record of 13-5, including 12 wins by KO. Before turning his focus to MMA, he accumulated a professional kickboxing record of 76-801 with 64 wins by KO. He has won multiple championships in kickboxing and has even been honored with the “Lifetime Achievement Award” in his home country.

Rozenstruik is a 6’2” orthodox kickboxer with a 78” reach at the age of 35. In the octagon, he averages 2.81 significant strikes landed and 3.15 absorbed per minute, but averages one knockdown per 46 strikes. He has zero takedowns under his belt and holds a modest 73% takedown defense.

Shamil Gaziev

Gaziev is a Bahrainian mixed martial artist with a professional record of 12-0, including 8 TKO/KO victories and 3 submissions. It’s reported that he’s originally from Dagestan and found the late Abdulmanap Nurmagomedov as a child and was brought in to train to fight to stay out of trouble in the streets.

Gaziev is listed as a 6’4” orthodox fighter with a 78” reach as well. He only has two fights in the octagon, including his win at Dana White’s Contender Series, and averages 6.19 significant strikes landed and only 0.93 absorbed per minute. He has a 100% takedown defense as well.

Updates

No injuries have been reported to the UFC or ESPN.

Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs Shamil Gaziev Betting Preview

Before we can make a Rozenstruik vs Gaziev prediction, we need to take a closer look at the styles of both guys, along with previewing the betting lines for this event this weekend on the UFC schedule.

According to the UFC odds, Gaziev is coming in as the -155 betting favorite over Rozenstruik at +135. The bout is favored to end inside the distance at a whopping -1400 odds, and the u1.5 round line is at -175 according to the BetUS sportsbook. These lines mean that the oddsmakers fully expect this fight to end quickly.

After breaking down the film on both of these guys, the oddsmakers are right to assume this ends quickly. We have said it before, heavyweight MMA is like a different sport than the other divisions; these men need one punch to win a fight.

Rozenstruik is a world-class kickboxer with an understanding of distance, along with the timing and accuracy to knock out anybody using his power. On top of those skills, he has been working on his wrestling ability and ground defense this entire time.

Gaziev is a very powerful athlete with explosiveness in his striking techniques and a good understanding of wrestling. He uses his physical attributes well with his aggressive style. Those are dangerous when paired with the confidence of being an undefeated fighter in the UFC.

Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs Shamil Gaziev Best Bets and Prediction

This is an underrated main event out of all the exciting upcoming UFC fights we have over the next couple of months, but there’s no doubt these two will put on an explosive show for the fans this weekend.

After careful consideration, the official Rozenstruik vs Gaziev prediction is that Rozenstruik will get his hand raised on Saturday evening. This is the best underdog pick you can make this weekend with the skills and the power that Rozenstruik has.

He has experience against some of the scariest fighters to ever put on the UFC gloves and he knows how to navigate a heavyweight MMA fight now. The smaller UFC APEX cage will increase the engagement and the fight will kick off to a fast start.

The power and striking ability get the edge here because the fight starts with both guys standing up. We are taking Rozenstruik on a coin flip for this reason alone. Worth the shot at these odds.