Laurie Sainsbury, Cameron Happ's tips: $151 chance worth a 'throw at the stumps'

Both Laurie and Cameron have landed on Right You Are in the Underwood Stakes. Photo: Vince Caligiuri/Getty Images.

Proven value hunter Laurie Sainsbury has found a $151 chance worth a dollar or two at Caulfield on Saturday.

Here are this week's tips.

LAURIE SAINSBURY

NECTARIS (Race 4 No 6) This is a real throw at the stumps. In her two Australian starts she hasn't beaten a runner home and she has looked plain. First run was beaten 6-3/4 lengths by Viviane over 1100m, dropped out but then was ok the last 75m and then went too hard and dropped out when beaten the same margin last time behind Nunthorpe. In her trials and races this mare she has been over racing so the stable has turned to the norton bit this week in a bid to get her to work with her rider. Fitter now and in the past the stable have had long priced winners with Craig Newitt riding, Kourkhan comes to mind. At $151 she is worth a small investment because connections know the type of horses that can be successful when relocating horses from the northern hemisphere. BET: EACH-WAY

SCENTIFY (Race 7 No 6) He won his maiden on debut at Warrnambool before being spelled. First up at The Valley he ran home strongly from last to beat Prinzerro, running the third best last 200m of the day. Last start he ran second to Steparty, home in the second best last 200m of the day, again at The Valley. He was last on the turn and marked time from the 500m to the 300m when held in by Brave Mead. He appeals out to 1400m and on the bigger track although the price is as low as I normally go. I will include another former selection for exotics. Sheelite, I loved his work late last start. BET: WIN

RIGHT YOU ARE (Race 9 No 9) There's no more honest horse racing at present. He resumed at Caulfield in a Benchmark 100 and ran second to a fit Jimmy The Bear, giving him 4.5kg over 1600m. He had won the Mornington Cup at his last start prior to a spell and prior to that on a heavy (8) he ran second to the then Melbourne Cup favourite White Marlin. From barrier 2, I see him getting an economical run and being hard to hold out. His record on good tracks is 13:7-1-4 and he's won two and placed once in three runs at the trip. I will include Without a Fight and Lindermann in exotics, both talented horses. BET: EACH-WAY

ON THE LEAD (Race 10 No 10) Back in January he came to Melbourne and beat Inundation at Hillside with 59kg and then went to Flemington and ran second to Star Patrol, who at the time was flying and he returned a winner last week. This prep On The Lead trialled well behind Cylinder and resumed with 61kg at Rosehill when seventh of 11 behind exciting Red Card. He was solid to the line to be beaten 3-1/4 lengths and the race was run in just under half-a-second outside the track record. He was one of only three that broke 11 seconds for the last 200m in the race. On Saturday he drops 6.5kg to 54.5kg which excites me and the fact that Damian Oliver is riding that light, the lowest he's ridden this season, indicates the horse is expected to run well. I will include She Dances despite the wide draw. I loved her recent jumpouts and the Royal Merchant form has substance. BET: EACH-WAY

CAMERON HAPP

TREASUREWAY (Race 5 No 1) At the big odds I want to speck this Starspangledbanner filly from the Jason Warren stable. She never had a lot of luck in her early starts before getting the breakthrough win at Group 3 level in Adelaide as a clear favourite. She returned in the Listed Atlantic Jewel Stakes, and she was going to run well when badly held up over the last 150m to go untested. Drawn to fall straight into the same dream run and no issue out to 1400m, if she gets clear air she can be in the finish. BET: EACH-WAY

STEPARTY (Race 7 No 3) This race looks a deadest two horse race but I'm keen to stick with the unbeaten colt from the Paul Preusker stable. Off an unbeaten winter, he resumed in the Listed McKenzie Stakes and did it easily, sitting on pace and he will take a stack of improvement into this race. Drawn outside the expected leader, if things pan out for John Allen early, he should be able to cancel the middle gate and they should be able to control the middle section of the race. If he does get a rest, he'll give a huge kick and should be too strong. BET: WIN

BERKELEY SQUARE (Race 8 No 12) One last chance for me with this Dan O'Sullivan-trained gelding as it is D-day. He's been good in all three runs this prep doing his best work closing through the line as he's risen in trip, but despite being beaten under two lengths on each occasion, he's just lacked a turn of foot at a crucial stage to put a race away. If the blinkers going on for the first time have the desired affect and Harry Coffey has an ounce of luck getting cover, he'll take care of these down on 54kg. BET: WIN

RIGHT YOU ARE (Race 9 No 9) Expecting Caulfield to suit horses in the front half of the field so this Ciaron Maher and David Eustace-trained gelding looks to be way over the odds for an each-way play. He won seven of his last nine starts in a long last prep so the stable certainly have been able to get the best out of him and he returned in great shape here over the mile when just missing. From the good gate, he's going to drop straight into a dream run and with clear air on the turn, he'll run it out strong. BET: EACH-WAY