Los Angeles Dodgers at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions
The Los Angeles Dodgers (88-57) and Seattle Mariners (81-65) meet Friday as they open a 3-game series. First pitch at T-Mobile Park will be at 10:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting since 2021. The Dodgers lead the all-time series 23-16.
Los Angeles might be a bit road-weary of late. The Dodgers are 8-13 over their last 21 games, a stretch that includes a home stand after a trip to the East Coast, then trips to Miami and Washington, D.C., then a 3-game home series and now a voyage to Seattle.
The Mariners went 2-7 from Sept. 3-11, but most of that stretch involved wonky travel as well. Seattle enters this series off back-to-back wins against the Los Angeles Angels and finds itself 1 1/2 games up of the Toronto Blue Jays for the final AL Wild Card.
Dodgers at Mariners projected starters
RHP Bobby Miller vs. RHP George Kirby
Miller (9-3, 3.98 ERA) is lined up for his 19th start. He’s posted a 1.14 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 through 101 2/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 7-6 road loss vs. Washington Nationals Saturday
- 2023 Road stats: 4-1, 3.22 ERA in 51 1/3 IP across 9 starts
- Has never faced the Mariners
- Has been aided by a .276 batting average on balls in play (BABIP) and a .243 BABIP in high-leverage situations
Kirby (10-9, 3.48 ERA) makes his 28th start. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 0.9 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 through 165 2/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 6 1/3 IP, 5 H, 4 R, 2 BB, 6 K in 7-4 loss at Tampa last Friday
- 2023 Home stats: 6-3, 2.87 ERA in 75 1/3 IP across 12 starts
- Has never faced the Dodgers
- Home ERA is tamped down by a .268 BABIP
- Owns a 4.19 ERA in the 2nd half
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Dodgers at Mariners odds
BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:39 a.m. ET.
Dodgers at Mariners picks and predictions
Prediction
Mariners 4, Dodgers 3
Kirby has pitched quite well over his 2 seasons in the Majors (3.07 ERA) and is making his first start in Seattle since Aug. 12. Since May 31, he has logged a 1.67 ERA and 0.68 WHIP at home.
Miller is a 24-year-old rookie who has fared well but may be getting some innings-build fatigue. He has allowed 4 runs or more in 3 of his last 4 starts.
The Los Angeles bullpen owns a league-leading 2.49 ERA since Aug. 1, but that number is buoyed by a .240 BABIP.
FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best leverage here: BACK THE MARINERS (-108).
The low total here is justified, and Seattle plays in a lot of 1-run games.
FanDuel is worth a line-watch here: SEATTLE +1.5 is worth a play at -180 or better, but until then it’s a PASS.
No interest in parsing what is a fair number. PASS.
