Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks & predictions

The Arizona Diamondbacks (69-62) and Los Angeles Dodgers (80-49) open a 3-game set Monday at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: tied 5-5

The Diamondbacks won 5-2 as -119 home favorites vs. the Cincinnati Reds Sunday. Arizona has won 12 of its last 15 outings and owns a 1½-game lead over the San Francisco Giants and the Reds for the final NL Wild Card spot.

The Dodgers won 7-4 as -112 favorites at the Boston Red Sox Sunday. The Dodgers have won 22 of their last 27 outings and are 12 games ahead of the 2nd-place Diamondbacks in the NL West.

Diamondbacks at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Zac Gallen vs. RHP Bobby Miller

Gallen (14-5, 3.11 ERA) makes his 28th start. He has a 1.06 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 168 IP.

• Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 11 K in 6-3 home victory vs. Texas Rangers Tuesday
• 2023 road stats: 3-4, 4.46 ERA (82 2/3 IP, 41 ER) in 14 starts
• 2023 vs. Dodgers: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 7 K in 1 start, an 8-2 road loss March 30 (Opening Day)
• Career vs. Dodgers: 1-3, 2.88 ERA (59 1/3 IP, 19 ER) in 10 starts

Miller (7-3, 3.86 ERA) makes his 16th start. The rookie has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 81 2/3 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 6 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 8-3 loss at Cleveland Guardians Tuesday
• 2023 home stats: 3-2, 5.17 ERA (38 1/3 IP, 22 ER) in 7 starts
• Career vs. Diamondbacks: No-decision, 6 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 4 K in 1 start, a 2-0 road victory Aug. 9

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Diamondbacks at Dodgers odds

BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:21 p.m. ET.

Diamondbacks at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 6, Diamondbacks 5

The DODGERS (-145) are 43-19 this season as home favorites, according to TeamRankings.com, and have been slightly hotter than the Diamondbacks over a larger sample size. Miller has allowed 4 or more earned runs in just 4 of his 15 career starts and should get the run support needed from MLB’s 2nd-best offense (5.61 runs/game).

Gallen has been a different pitcher on the road this season and has struggled in his career to get wins vs. the Dodgers.

BET DODGERS (-145).

The Diamondbacks have gone 8 straight games without losing by multiple runs. Arizona +1.5 (-165) will probably hit, but there’s no need to play the run line when you can get Los Angeles ML at a cheaper price.

PASS. Bet the moneyline and/or the total instead.

The Over is 73-49-7 (59.8%) in Dodgers games this season. Gallen has struggled on the road this year and should help the Over cash as he faces 1 of the most dangerous offenses in the league in the Dodgers.