Love Adding Points to the Packers
The Washington Commanders and Green Bay Packers headline Sportsbook Review betting analyst Neil Parker’s NFL Week 1 teaser picks based on the latest NFL odds from our best sports betting apps.
Teasers allow you to move multiple spreads across key numbers for an increased vig and are popular among experienced and recreational sports bettors. There are still a number of tricks to the trade, though, and you’ll definitely want to ensure you’re shopping across our best NFL betting sites to land the best Week 1 odds.
Our teaser betting primer also offers additional detailed information and strategies for teaser bets.
NFL Week 1 teaser picks
- Commanders -1 + Packers +7 (+120 via bet365) ⭐⭐
NFL Week 1 teaser picks
Commanders -7 to -1
We’re clearing multiple key numbers with a six-point teaser to make the Washington Commanders 1-point favorites. The Arizona Cardinals have the longest Super Bowl odds in the NFL, and there’s been consistent line movement to the Washington side since opening.
Arizona quarterback Joshua Dobbs lost both his starts last season with the Tennessee Titans, and he completed just 58.8% of his passes for a minuscule 6.0 yards per attempt. The Commanders don’t project to impose their will on either side of the ball in 2023, but I’m anticipating the Cardinals willing their own way to losses in bunches throughout the year.
Packers +1 to +7
I’m just not buying that the move from quarterback Aaron Rodgers to Jordan Love will be overly detrimental to the Green Bay Packers. Additionally, not enough has changed for me to buy the Chicago Bears as favorites against a division rival after finishing with the worst record in the NFL in 2023.
Seriously, Love has been in the system for two years, and he draws a Chicago defense I’m pegging to struggle again after allowing the most points per game and highest EPA per play.
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NFL Week 1 teaser picks: Odds analysis
Shopping for the best odds is important for teaser selections, too. As highlighted below, FanDuel and BetMGM charge a higher vig for the luxury of moving the line six points, and you’ll want to steer clear of those two sportsbooks unless they adjust the juice.
For comparison, the -120 odds available through DraftKings, Caesars and bet365 present a positive expected value of -4% and -5% over the respective BetMGM and FanDuel numbers.
NFL betting odds pages
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