Maple Leafs at Sabres Prediction
The Toronto Maple Leafs will play the Buffalo Sabres on Tuesday night at the KeyBank Center in Buffalo, New York.
Maple Leafs Preview
The Toronto Maple Leafs are 34-15-8 this season after they lost to the Chicago Blackhawks by a score of 5-3 in their last game. Toronto out shot Chicago by a total of 35-28 and went 1-2 on the power play in the loss. The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.40 goals per game, 2.65 goals against per game, 25.4% on the power play, and 81% on the penalty kill. William Nylander has led the Maple Leafs this season with 31 goals, 35 assists, and 208 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Toronto is Ilya Samsonov, who is 19-7-2 this season with a 2.38 goals against average and a .915 save percentage.
Sabres Preview
The Buffalo Sabres are 28-22-4 this season after they defeated the San Jose Sharks by a score of 4-2 in their last game. Buffalo was out shot by a total of 35-31 and won 51.4% of the faceoffs in the game. The Buffalo Sabres are averaging 3.70 goals per game, 3.44 goals against per game, 25% on the power play, and 73% on the penalty kill. Tage Thompson has led the Sabres this season with 36 goals, 35 assists, and 212 shots on goal this season. The projected starting goalie for Buffalo is Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen, who is 13-7-2 this season with a 3.41 goals against average and a .898 save percentage.
Trends
Toronto is 2-5 in their last 7 games against the Atlantic and 1-4 in their last 5 road games. The over is 5-2-1 in Toronto’s last 8 games. Buffalo is 5-1 in their last 6 games following a win and 2-6 in their last 8 home games. The over is 4-0 in Buffalo’s last 4 Tuesday games. The over is 22-8-4 in these two teams last 34 head to head meetings.
Pick
Buffalo comes into this game after winning their last two games, while Toronto has won two of their last three games. Buffalo is allowing 3.44 goals against per game on the defensive end of the ice, but is scoring 3.70 goals per game on offense. The Maple Leafs are coming off of a bad loss to Chicago and will be looking to bounce back here. With how poorly the Buffalo defense has played this season, I like the over here.
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