Mariners vs. Marlins Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

The Seattle Mariners (33-33) aim to sweep the Miami Marlins (37-31) on Wednesday at T-Mobile Park, beginning at 9:40 PM ET.

The Mariners are favored (-187 on the moneyline to win) when they host the Marlins (+159). The contest has an over/under of 7.

The betting trends in what follows reflect odds as of June 14, 2023 at 9:15 PM ET. Ready to bet?

Mariners vs Marlins Betting Lines

Mariners Betting Insights

• The Mariners have won 25, or 55.6%, of the 45 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• Seattle has entered 11 games this season favored by -187 or more and is 10-1 in those contests.
• The Mariners have a 65.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Seattle and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 34 of 66 opportunities.
• In 66 games with a spread this season, the Mariners are 30-36-0 ATS.

Mariners Last 10 Games Trend

Marlins Betting Insights

• The Marlins have won in 19, or 50%, of the 38 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• Miami has a win-loss record of 3-3 when favored by +159 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 38.6% chance of pulling out a win.
• Contests with Miami has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 31 of 68 chances this season.
• In 68 games with a line this season, the Marlins have a mark of 31-37-0 against the spread.

Marlins Last 10 Games Trend

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Mariners Probable Pitcher – Luis Castillo

• Castillo’s team is 4-9-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
• The right-hander gave up three earned runs and allowed six hits in six innings pitched against the Los Angeles Angels on Saturday.
• Castillo has 13 starts in a row of five innings or more.
• He has five appearances with no earned runs allowed in 13 chances this season.
• Castillo’s team has been victorious in 54.5% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 6-5.
• Castillo’s team has won six of his 13 starts this season.
• In games Castillo has started this season, the teams are 6-7-0 at hitting the over.

Mariners Relief Pitchers

Marlins Probable Pitcher – Eury Perez

• Perez gets the start for the Marlins, his seventh of the season. He is 3-1 with a 2.17 ERA and 30 strikeouts through 29 2/3 innings pitched.
• His most recent appearance was on Saturday against the Chicago White Sox, when the right-hander tossed five innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing five hits.
• Perez will try to continue a four-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 4.8 frames per appearance).
• In two of his appearances this season he has not allow an earned run.
• The Marlins were the moneyline underdog for two Perez starts this season — they split the games.
• Perez’s team has won three of his six starts.
• Perez’s starts hit the over on the run total two times in six games with a set total this season.

Marlins Relief Pitchers

Mariners Hitting Trends

• The Mariners have a 16-7 record this season in games when they belt two or more homers.
• Seattle has racked up at least five extra-base hits in seven games this season, and has gone 6-1 in those contests.
• The team has totaled at least eight hits 43 times this season, and has a 26-17 record in those games.
• Seattle has a 31-7 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
• The Mariners are 19-6 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Marlins Hitting Trends

• They have won eight of the 25 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
• Miami has won 12 of its 13 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
• In 59 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 33-26.
• Miami has a 25-10 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
• In 17 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 6-11

Mariners vs. Marlins Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Mariners (-187)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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