Cardinals vs. Marlins Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

The St. Louis Cardinals (41-53) will look to Lars Nootbaar, on an 11-game hitting streak, against the Miami Marlins (53-43) at 7:45 PM ET on Tuesday, at Busch Stadium.

The Cardinals are favored (-149 on the moneyline to win) when they take on the Marlins (+125). The matchup has an over/under of 8 total runs.

The betting trends in this article use the latest odds as of July 18, 2023 at 3:20 PM ET. Ready to bet?

Cardinals vs Marlins Betting Lines

Cardinals Betting Insights

• The Cardinals have entered the game as favorites 52 times this season and won 24, or 46.2%, of those games.
• St. Louis has a record of 11-14, a 44% win rate, when favored by -149 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The Cardinals have a 59.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• St. Louis’ games have gone over the total in 48 of its 93 chances.
• The Cardinals are 43-50-0 ATS in their 93 games with a spread this season.

Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend

Marlins Betting Insights

• The Marlins have been chosen as underdogs in 50 games this year and have walked away with the win 23 times (46%) in those games.
• Miami has a win-loss record of 8-12 when favored by +125 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 44.4% chance of pulling out a win.
• Contests with Miami has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 46 of 96 chances this season.
• The Marlins have an against the spread mark of 46-50-0 in 96 games with a line this season.

Marlins Last 10 Games Trend

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Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Jordan Montgomery

• When Montgomery starts, his team is 7-11-0 against the spread this season.
• The left-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, July 8, when he threw 4 1/3 innings against the Chicago White Sox, giving up one earned run while allowing three hits.
• Montgomery has 15 starts of five or more innings this season in 18 chances. He averages 5.7 innings per outing.
• He has finished four appearances without allowing an earned run in 18 chances this season.
• Montgomery’s team has a record of 5-9 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
• Montgomery’s team has won six of his 18 starts this season.
• Out of Montgomery’s 18 starts with a total this season, nine have hit the over.

Cardinals Relief Pitchers

Marlins Probable Pitcher – Edward Cabrera

• The Marlins are sending Cabrera (5-5) to the mound for his 14th start of the season. He is 5-5 with a 4.70 ERA and 84 strikeouts through 67 2/3 innings pitched.
• His last appearance came on Wednesday, June 14 against the Seattle Mariners, when the righty tossed four innings, surrendering five earned runs while giving up four hits.
• Cabrera has pitched five or more innings in a game nine times this year heading into this matchup.
• He has had one appearances this season in which he did not allow an earned run.
• The Marlins have a 3-4 record in Cabrera’s seven starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
• Cabrera’s team has compiled an 8-5 record in his 13 starts.
• Cabrera has had 13 starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and six of those matchups hit the over.

Marlins Relief Pitchers

Cardinals Hitting Trends

• The Cardinals have a 30-16 record in games this season when they hit two or more homers.
• St. Louis has gone 25-4 in its 29 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
• The team has strung together eight or more hits in 65 games this season, and is 41-24 in those contests.
• St. Louis is 36-11 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
• The Cardinals are 11-16 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Marlins Hitting Trends

• They are 12-19 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
• In 17 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 16-1.
• They have a record of 44-34 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
• Miami has a 36-11 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
• They have won 12 of their 23 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Cardinals vs. Marlins Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Cardinals (-149)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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