Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets
The Dallas Mavericks (12-8) take on the Portland Trail Blazers (6-14) as 8-point favorites on Friday, December 8, 2023 at 10:00 PM ET on ROOT. The matchup’s point total is 227.5.
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers Odds
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Game Time and Information
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Mavericks and Trail Blazers Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
When they have played as at least 8-point favorites this season, the Mavericks are 1-1 against the spread.
In games this season in which they were an underdog by 8 points or more, the Trail Blazers have a 7-5 record against the spread.
These two teams average a combined 224.9 points per game, 2.6 fewer points than the over/under of 227.5 set for this game.
Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 228.8 points per game, 1.3 more than the point total for this matchup.
The average point total in Mavericks games this year is 9.1 more points than the over/under of 227.5 in this matchup.
The average point total for Portland this season is 10.5 points fewer than this game’s over/under.
Dallas’ ATS record is 10-10-0 this season.
The Trail Blazers’ ATS record is 10-10-0 this year.
Mavericks Stats & Insights
The Mavericks are outscoring opponents by 2.7 points per game with a +54 scoring differential overall. They put up 119.7 points per game (fifth in the NBA) and allow 117.0 per outing (21st in the league).
The Mavericks come up short in the rebound battle by an average of 3.9 boards. They are grabbing 42.7 rebounds per game (22nd in the league) compared to their opponents’ 46.6 per outing.
Dallas knocks down 16.2 three-pointers per game (first in the league), 3.6 more than its opponents (12.6). It is shooting 37.5% from beyond the arc (seventh-best in the NBA) while allowing opponents to shoot 36.5%.
The Mavericks average 120.0 points per 100 possessions on offense (fifth in the league), and allow 117.2 points per 100 possessions (23rd in the NBA).
The Mavericks’ offense has been much better in home games (121.8 PPG) compared to their play on the road (117.5 PPG). Meanwhile, their defense has been worse when playing at home (117.1 PPG allowed) compared to road games (116.8 PPG allowed).
Trail Blazers Stats & Insights
The Trail Blazers’ -132 scoring differential (being outscored by 6.6 points per game) is a result of putting up 105.2 points per game (30th in NBA) while allowing 111.8 per contest (12th in league).
The 40.6 rebounds per game Portland accumulates rank 28th in the league, 5.3 fewer than the 45.9 its opponents record.
The Trail Blazers knock down 11.4 three-pointers per game (23rd in the league) compared to their opponents’ 10.4. They shoot 33.8% from deep, and their opponents shoot 32.9%.
The Trail Blazers average 107.0 points per 100 possessions on offense (30th in league), and concede 113.7 points per 100 possessions (12th in NBA).
At home Portland is scoring 102.0 points per game, 4.9 fewer points than it is averaging away (106.9).
Mavericks Key Players to Watch
Luka Doncic accumulates 31.8 points and 8.5 rebounds and 8.6 assists per game.
The Mavericks get 3.9 three-pointers per game out of Doncic.
Doncic averages 1.3 steals per game, while Dereck Lively II swats 1.6 shots per contest.
Trail Blazers Key Players to Watch
Shaedon Sharpe puts up 18.1 points per game and also tacks on 5.6 rebounds and 3.5 assists per contest.
This season, Deandre Ayton is averaging 12.9 points, 1.6 assists and 10.8 rebounds per game.
Sharpe cashes in on 2.1 treys per game.
Matisse Thybulle’s 1.5 steals and 0.8 blocks per game are key to the Trail Blazers’ defensive production.
Under (227.5)
Mavericks 115 – Trail Blazers 112
