Mavericks vs. Cavaliers Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets
Donovan Mitchell and the Cleveland Cavaliers (17-13) are 4-point underdogs against Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks (18-12) Wednesday, December 27, 2023 at American Airlines Center. The game begins at 8:30 PM ET on BSSW. The matchup has an over/under of 232.
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers Odds
How to Bet on Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
Game Time and Information
Who Will Win Mavericks vs. Cavaliers?
Mavericks and Cavaliers Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
The Mavericks have a 7-4 record against the spread this season when favored by 4 points or more.
The Cavaliers have a 6-2 record against the spread this year when an underdog by 4 points or more.
The Mavericks and the Cavaliers combine to average 0.7 fewer points per game than the over/under of 232 set for this game.
Dallas and Cleveland have seen its opponents average a combined 2.3 fewer points per game than the point total of 232 set in this game.
The average total the Mavericks have had set in matchups this season is 5.1 more points than this outing’s point total.
The average total for Cleveland’s games this season is 8.1 fewer points than the point total of 232 in this outing.
Dallas has a 16-14-0 record against the spread this season.
The Cavaliers have a 14-14-2 record against the spread this year.
Mavericks Stats & Insights
The Mavericks outscore opponents by 1.5 points per game (scoring 119.3 points per game to rank seventh in the league while allowing 117.8 per outing to rank 22nd in the NBA) and have a +47 scoring differential overall.
The Mavericks lose the rebound battle by 3.9 boards on average. They record 42.4 rebounds per game, which ranks 23rd in the league, while their opponents pull down 46.3 per contest.
Dallas knocks down 2.8 more threes per game than the opposition, 15.7 (second-most in the league) compared to its opponents’ 12.9.
The Mavericks average 119.4 points per 100 possessions on offense (seventh in the league), and give up 117.9 points per 100 possessions (23rd in the NBA).
The Mavericks have been better offensively at home, where they score 121.5 points per game, compared to road games, where they average 117.4 per game. Defensively, they are slightly worse at home, where they give up 118.1 points per game, versus road games, where they allow their opponents to average 117.4 per game.
Cavaliers Stats & Insights
The Cavaliers score 112.0 points per game (23rd in NBA) and concede 111.9 (seventh in league) for a +5 scoring differential overall.
The 43.9 rebounds per game Cleveland accumulates rank 16th in the league. Their opponents record 42.9.
The Cavaliers make 12.4 three-pointers per game (16th in the league) at a 35.3% rate (23rd in NBA), compared to the 12.3 their opponents make, shooting 36.3% from beyond the arc.
The Cavaliers average 114.5 points per 100 possessions on offense (18th in league), and concede 114.3 points per 100 possessions (10th in NBA).
In 2023-24 Cleveland is averaging 1.4 more points per game at home (112.7) than on the road (111.3).
Mavericks Key Players to Watch
The Mavericks get 33.5 points, 8.5 rebounds and 9.4 assists from Doncic.
The Mavericks get 4.0 three-pointers per game out of Doncic.
Doncic picks pockets to the tune of 1.4 takeaways per game, and Dereck Lively II compiles 1.5 rejections per contest.
Cavaliers Key Players to Watch
Mitchell has the top spot on the Cavaliers scoring and assist lists among active players, putting up 27.7 points and 5.5 assists per game.
This season, Jarrett Allen has a statline of 13.3 points, 2.5 assists and 8.6 rebounds per game.
Max Strus knocks down 2.9 threes per game.
The Cavaliers’ defensive efforts get a lift from Mitchell (1.8 steals per game) and Allen (0.9 blocks per game).
Under (232)
Mavericks 117 – Cavaliers 114
