Mets at Red Sox Picks, Odds, & Betting Lines
Picks
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NYM @ BOS
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NYM @ BOS
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Expert Picks
5-0 IN LAST 5 MLB PICKS
3-0 IN LAST 3 MLB ML PICKS
14-11 IN LAST 25 NYM ML PICKS
Mike's Analysis: I like New York at even money (+100) as I have them winning 54 percent of simulations meaning this line should be -117 for the Mets. Kutter Crawford has some pretty glaring home vs. road splits and has really benefited from four of his last five starts coming outside of Fenway. I like this park shift for the Mets offense, and I really like the way Kodai Senga is pitching right now. I'm on the Mets.
Pick Made:Jul 21, 3:03 AM UTC
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
When Line was -121 to +109
MONEY LINE
When Line was -129 to +101
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
3rd game without a day off
REST
After a Day Off
when Kodai Senga starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Kutter Crawford starts
The Simulation uses parameters such as each team's statistics, expected lineups and defense-adjusted performance metrics to simulate every game 10,000 times and generate projections for the matchup. Those projections are then compared to the betting lines to create pick grades based on confidence, with "A" picks representing the biggest edge.
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