Yankees at Braves Picks, Odds, & Betting Lines
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NYY @ ATL
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks
NYY @ ATL
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks
10%
PUBLIC
90%
33%
PUBLIC
67%
Over / UnderOVER 10.5 -120
20-8 in Last 28 MLB Picks
Mike's Analysis:
The Braves have lost a key member of their lineup with Ozzie Albies (hamstring) landing on the IL. However, even with him out Monday, they hung 11 runs on the Yankees. Their upside is just as high in this matchup against Luis Severino, who has given up 38 runs (36 earned) over his last 27 2/3 innings. The Yankees have been struggling to produce, but even they could have a better night than normal with Bryce Elder starting for the Braves. He has a 7.94 ERA and a 1.62 WHIP over his last six starts. Give me the over.
Pick Made:Tue 4:45 pm UTC
Point SpreadAtlanta -1.5 -110
29-21 in Last 50 MLB Picks
3-0 in Last 3 ATL Picks
Max's Analysis:
This matchup is a bit one-sided. It is arguably the worst starting pitcher in the majors against one of the best offenses in MLB history. The Braves have scored six runs or more in five straight games and have won four of those games by six runs or more. This line is where it is because of the name recognition the Yankees have. This should be -150 at least. Lay the run with Braves.
Pick Made:Tue 5:43 am UTC
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
When Line was +169 to +199
MONEY LINE
When Line was -239 to -209
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
when Luis Severino starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Bryce Elder starts
The Simulation uses parameters such as each team's statistics, expected lineups and defense-adjusted performance metrics to simulate every game 10,000 times and generate projections for the matchup. Those projections are then compared to the betting lines to create pick grades based on confidence, with "A" picks representing the biggest edge.
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