Royals vs. Mets Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

The Kansas City Royals (34-75) bring a five-game winning streak into a home contest versus the New York Mets (50-57) at 2:10 PM ET on Thursday.

The Royals are projected as a close favorite (-118 to win on the moneyline) against the Mets (-102). The over/under for this game is 9.5.

The betting insights in the article below use the latest odds as of August 3, 2023 at 11:20 AM ET. Ready to bet?

Royals vs Mets Betting Lines

Royals Betting Insights

• The Royals have won three, or 23.1%, of the 13 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• Kansas City has a record of 1-5 when favored by -118 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The Royals have a 54.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Kansas City and its opponents have hit the over in 50 of its 109 games with a total this season.
• In 109 games with a spread this season, the Royals are 46-63-0 ATS.

Royals Last 10 Games Trend

Mets Betting Insights

• The Mets have been victorious in 10, or 28.6%, of the 35 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• New York has a mark of 6-22 in contests where bookmakers favor it by -102 or worse on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 50.5% chance of pulling out a win.
• New York and its opponents have gone over in 44 of its 108 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Mets are 42-66-0 against the spread in their 108 games that had a posted line this season.

Mets Last 10 Games Trend

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Royals Probable Pitcher – Brady Singer

• When Singer starts, his team is 10-11-0 against the spread this season.
• The right-hander’s last start was on Saturday, when he tossed five innings while giving up two earned runs on four hits in a matchup with the Minnesota Twins.
• Singer has pitched five or more innings in eight straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• He has made 21 appearances and finished two of them without allowing an earned run.
• When Singer starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 2-4.
• Singer’s team has a 9-12 record in his starts this season.
• In games Singer has started this season, the teams are 12-9-0 at hitting the over.

Royals Relief Pitchers

Mets Probable Pitcher – Carlos Carrasco

• Carrasco (3-5 with a 6.40 ERA and 52 strikeouts in 70 1/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Mets, his 16th of the season.
• The right-hander’s last appearance came on Saturday against the Washington Nationals, when he went 2 1/3 innings, surrendering six earned runs while allowing eight hits.
• Carrasco will look to pick up his eighth outing of five or more innings pitched this season. He’s averaging 4.7 innings per appearance.
• He has had one outing this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
• The Mets are 2-6 in Carrasco’s eight starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
• Carrasco’s team is 6-9 over his 15 starts.
• Carrasco’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in eight of 15 games.

Mets Relief Pitchers

Royals Hitting Trends

• The Royals have a 10-15 record this season in games when they belt two or more homers.
• Kansas City has put up at least five extra-base hits in 26 games this season, and has gone 11-15 in those outings.
• The team has put up eight or more hits 61 times this season, and has a 25-36 record in those games.
• Kansas City is 22-12 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
• The Royals have drawn at least five walks in 15 games this season, and are 4-11 in those contests.

Mets Hitting Trends

• They have won 19 of the 36 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
• New York has won 12 of its 17 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
• In 61 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 38-23.
• New York has won 38 of its 56 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
• In 25 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 15-10

Royals vs. Mets Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Mets (-102)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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