Blue Jays vs. White Sox Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

Brandon Belt leads the Toronto Blue Jays (45-40) into a contest with the Chicago White Sox (37-49) a game after homering twice in a 5-4 defeat to the Red Sox. It begins at 8:10 PM ET on Tuesday.

The White Sox (+104 underdog moneyline odds) take the field at home against the Blue Jays (-123). The over/under for this game is 8.5.

The betting insights in what follows use the latest odds as of July 4, 2023 at 9:12 AM ET. Ready to bet?

Blue Jays vs White Sox Betting Lines

Blue Jays Betting Insights

• The Blue Jays have been favorites in 61 games this season and won 33 (54.1%) of those contests.
• Toronto has a record of 27-24, a 52.9% win rate, when favored by -123 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The Blue Jays have a 55.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Toronto and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 39 of 85 opportunities.
• The Blue Jays are 38-47-0 against the spread this season.

Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend

White Sox Betting Insights

• The White Sox have won in 19, or 36.5%, of the 52 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• Chicago has a win-loss record of 13-28 when favored by +104 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the White Sox have a 49% chance of walking away with the win.
• Chicago’s games have gone over the total in 40 of its 86 opportunities.
• The White Sox are 42-44-0 against the spread in their 86 games that had a posted line this season.

White Sox Last 10 Games Trend

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Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Chris Bassitt

• Bassitt and his team have a record of 7-10-0 against the spread when he starts.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Thursday, when he threw six scoreless innings against the San Francisco Giants while allowing three hits.
• Bassitt will look to finish five or more innings for the third start in a row.
• In 17 appearances this season, he has finished six without allowing an earned run.
• Bassitt’s team is 4-5 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
• Bassitt’s team is 9-8 when he starts this season.
• Out of Bassitt’s 17 starts with a total this season, six have hit the over.

Blue Jays Relief Pitchers

White Sox Probable Pitcher – Lucas Giolito

• Giolito gets the start for the White Sox, his 18th of the season. He is 6-5 with a 3.53 ERA and 108 strikeouts in 99 1/3 innings pitched.
• The righty last appeared on Thursday against the Los Angeles Angels, when he tossed seven innings, allowing four earned runs while giving up six hits.
• Giolito will aim to last five or more innings for his seventh straight start. He’s averaging 5.8 frames per outing.
• In two of his 17 total appearances this season he has not surrendered an earned run.
• The White Sox are 3-7 in Giolito’s 10 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
• Giolito’s team has a 7-10 record over his 17 starts.
• Giolito’s starts hit the over on the run total seven times in 17 games with a set total this season.

White Sox Relief Pitchers

Blue Jays Hitting Trends

• The Blue Jays have a 17-10 record this season in games when they hit two or more home runs.
• Toronto is 12-4 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
• The club has racked up eight or more hits 68 times this season, and has a 42-26 record in those games.
• Toronto is 33-11 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
• The Blue Jays have drawn at least five walks in 19 games this season, and are 12-7 in those contests.

White Sox Hitting Trends

• They’ve hit two or more homers in 29 games this season and are 14-15 in those matchups.
• In 18 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 11-7.
• They have a record of 29-23 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
• Chicago has a 23-9 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
• They have won five of their 11 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Blue Jays vs. White Sox Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Blue Jays (-123)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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