Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres 8/21/2023 Game Preview
Miami Marlins (64-61) vs San Diego Padres (59-66)
Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres 8/21/2023 – Starting Monday, the Miami Marlins will commence a three-game series away from home against the San Diego Padres. Following a doubleheader with the Los Angeles Dodgers on Saturday, Miami’s record slipped to 64-61 as they were swept, falling 3-1 in both games. This recent performance has resulted in Miami losing four out of their last five matches. Presently, the Marlins hold the third position in the National League East, trailing the first-place Atlanta team by a margin of 17 ½ games.
Similarly, the San Diego Padres’ standing has been affected as well, with their record now at 59-66 following a doubleheader against the Arizona Diamondbacks on Saturday. San Diego experienced defeat in both games, with scores of 6-4 and 8-1 in the first and second games, respectively. The Padres have faced losses in three of their past four matchups, and they currently sit in fourth place within the National League West, trailing the leading Los Angeles Dodgers by 18 games. For more insights, consider checking out MLB picks and previews.
Marlins vs. Padres Game Info
Johnny Cueto (0-3, ERA: 5.57) vs Blake Snell (10-8, ERA: 2.65)
The Miami Marlins will entrust Johnny Cueto to take the pitcher’s mound. The skilled right-hander, who holds a record of 0-3, accompanied by a 5.57 ERA and a total of 26 strikeouts, will be making his seventh start of the season. In his recent appearance against the Astros on Tuesday, Cueto pitched for 5 1/3 innings, allowing four earned runs and conceding seven hits. His overall performance this season spans seven games, during which the 37-year-old has maintained an ERA of 5.57, achieving an average of 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings. Batters have managed a .227 batting average against him. Cueto has achieved a single-quality start in this current year.
The San Diego Padres will rely on Blake Snell to take the pitcher’s mound. A formidable left-hander, Snell boasts a record of 10-8, along with an impressive 2.65 ERA and a striking count of 176 strikeouts. He stands as a leader among the Padres in several aspects, including wins with 10, starters’ ERA at 2.65, and strikeouts with 176. Accumulating a career record of 67-54, Snell maintained an ERA of 3.30 and yielded an average of 7.2 hits per nine innings across 948 innings. Throughout his career, he surrendered 348 earned runs, boasting a WHIP of 1.248 and a FIP of 3.5. He holds a K/BB ratio of 2.71 and has faced a formidable 3,945 hitters in his time on the mound.
MLB Odds/Point Spread: San Diego Padres -180, Total Odds: 8.5
Miami has dropped four of its past five games, and the Marlins have lost 11 of their previous 16 games while playing a National League opponent. Johnny Cueto, the starting pitcher for Miami, has struggled in three of his previous four starts, giving up 15 runs in only 22 13 innings, and the Marlins are 1-3 during that time.
The Padres triumphed in each of Blake Snell’s previous five starts for San Diego, and the southpaw has a respectable 2.65 ERA. In his last 28 innings during his last five starts, Snell has given up 8 earned runs. The Padres feature three outstanding sluggers: Juan Soto, Manny Machado, and Fernando Tatis Jr., as highlighted in an earlier post on San Diego. Together, these three totaled 67 homers and 212 RBIs.
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
In the 65 games this season where they were listed as heavy underdogs, the Marlins won 28, or 43.1% of matches.
Miami won five times in 14 chances this season when selected as an underdog of at least +150 on the moneyline.
According to the moneyline established for this game, the implied victory probability for the Marlins is 40%.
The total for Miami’s games has been exceeded 56 times out of 124 times.
This season, the Marlins have a record of 56-68-0 against the spread in 124 games with a line.
San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The Padres have won 49 out of 95 games this season (51.6%) where they were considered favorites.
San Diego enters a game with a moneyline advantage of -180 or more and is 16-15 this year.
The implied probability of the moneyline indicates that the Padres have a 64.3% chance of winning this contest.
The Padres are 51-125 in the totals going OVER the odds.
In their 125 games this season with a spread, the Padres have an ATS record of 60-65-0.
Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres 8/21/2023 Betting Picks
The UNDER is a good option in favor of San Diego. Miami dropped four of its past five games and five of its last seven against National League West opponents. Miami’s starting pitcher Johnny Quinto has taken a beating in each of his previous four appearances, surrendering 15 runs over 22 and third innings, with Miami dropping three of the four. Blake Snell’s previous five outings have all been victories for San Diego, and he has a fantastic 2.65 ERA. For more insights, consider checking out the best sports picks and predictions.
