San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins Prediction 8-22-23 MLB Picks

The Miami Marlins and the San Diego Padres meet in game two of their three-game series in MLB action from Petco Park on Tuesday. The Padres controlled Miami in game one, can they go back-to-back here? Let’s dive in and find out.

Marlins Fall Flat In Opener

The Miami Marlins are in the midst of the playoff hunt but Monday’s series-opening loss to the Padres didn’t help matters. The 6-2 defeat at the hands of San Diego on Monday dropped the Fish to 64-62 on the year, sitting 1.5 games back in the NL Wild Card hunt and 17 games back in the NL East race. Jorge Soler leads the Marlins with 32 home runs along with 67 RBIs while Bryan De La Cruz has 63 RBIs this season. Luis Arraez also has 167 hits, 27 doubles and a .358 batting average while De La Cruz has a team-high 28 doubles as well. Jesus Luzardo will start here and is 8-8 with a 4.13 ERA and 160 strikeouts this season.

Miami Marlins Team Facts

- The Marlins have won three of their last four games as underdogs against the Padres following a loss.

- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 11 games against National League opponents following a road loss.

- The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Marlins' last four night games.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

- Jorge Soler ranks 7th in the league in Home Runs (32) this season.

Padres Come Out Strong In Game One

The San Diego Padres managed to pick up a much-needed win after their victory over Miami in Monday’s opener. The win pushed the Padres to 60-66 on the year, sitting 17.5 games back in the NL West and 5.5 back in the NL Wild Card chase. Juan Soto leads the Padres with 24 home runs and 75 RBIs with a .403 OBP as well while Xander Bogaerts has a team-high 121 hits. Fernando Tatis Jr. leads San Diego with 27 doubles and Manny Machado has 24 home runs and 74 RBIs as well this season. Blake Snell will start for San Diego here and is 10-8 with a 2.65 ERA and 176 strikeouts this season.

San Diego Padres Team Facts

- The Padres have lost eight of their last nine games as home favorites against National League opponents following a home win.

- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against the Marlins following a win.

- The Padres have trailed after 7 innings in six of their last eight games as home favorites against National League opponents.

- The Padres have won the first inning in each of their last three games against NL East opponents.

- The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Padres' last three games against NL East opponents.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

- Blake Snell ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Earned Run Average (2.65) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

- The San Diego Padres ranks 1st in the league for walks this season (512).

-The San Diego Padres are one of only 4 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and on-base percentage this season.

- The Miami Marlins ranks 2nd in the league for strikeouts this season (1184).

- The Miami Marlins ranks 4th in the league for hits this season (1114).

Chris’ Pick

I’m backing the Padres here. I don’t love the price with San Diego, but they’re the better team right now and Jesus Luzardo has really struggled in a lot of his recent starts. Snell’s been one of the best pitchers in baseball the last couple of months and I think he leads the Padres to another win in this one. Give me San Diego.