Miami Marlins at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

The Miami Marlins (64-62) continue their road series against the San Diego Padres (60-66) on Tuesday with the 2nd game of a 3-game series. First pitch from Petco Park is at 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Padres lead 3-1

The Marlins have lost 3 games in a row and 5 of their last 6, dropping the series opener 6-2 on Monday. Miami is in 3rd place in the NL East, 17 games behind the division-leading Atlanta Braves, but just 1 1/2 games back of the final NL Wild Card spot.

The Padres had dropped 3 of 4 games to the visiting Arizona Diamondbacks over the weekend before Monday’s win. They are 5-10 in their last 15 games. San Diego is in 4th place in the NL West, trailing the division-leading Los Angeles Dodgers by 17 1/2 games, and is 5 1/2 games behind the final NL Wild Card.

Marlins at Padres projected starters

LHP Jesus Luzardo vs. LHP Blake Snell

Luzardo (8-8, 4.13 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 through 137 1/3 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 6 R (5 ER), 8 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 12-5 home loss to Houston Astros Wednesday
• Is 0-3 with an 11.68 ERA in 3 August starts

Snell (10-8, 2.65 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 5.2 BB/9 and 11.6 K/9 through 136 IP.

• Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 5-2 home win over Baltimore Orioles Wednesday
• The Padres are 5-0 in Snell’s last 5 outings

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Marlins at Padres odds

BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:15 p.m. ET.

Marlins at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 6, Marlins 3

Neither team has been winning much recently. The Padres have lost 10 of their last 15 games while the Marlins have lost 5 of 6 and are 6-11 in their last 17 games.

However, the Padres are 5-0 in Snell’s last 5 starts and the left-hander leads the majors with a 2.65 ERA.

The Marlins have lost Luzardo’s last 3 starts.

The Padres should pick up the victory but at -190, they aren’t worth the action.

PASS.

The Padres’ last 13 wins have been by at least 2 runs. All 5 of their wins in Snell’s last 5 outings have been by at least 2 runs.

Seven of the Marlins’ last 8 losses have been by more than 1 run.

BET PADRES -1.5 (+110).

Snell’s last 4 starts have had 8 or more total runs.

The Padres’ last 3 games have had 8 or more runs.

Three of the 4 matchups between the 2 teams his season have had 8 or more runs.

Seven of Miami’s last 11 games have had at least 8 total runs.

BET OVER 7.5 (-110).

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