Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres Betting Analysis & Prediction
The Miami Marlins (64-61) and San Diego Padres (59-66) will square off in the first of a three-game National League showdown on Monday.
Before you consider making your MLB picks, make sure to read ahead for a complete Marlins vs Padres betting analysis.
Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres
Location of the game: Petco Park, San Diego, CA.
Date & Time: Monday, August 21. 9:40 pm ET.
How to watch: MLB.TV
The Marlins vs Padres betting analysis would not be complete without a look at their recent matchups and scores.
Looking at the Miami Marlins schedule, they have gone 5-5 in their last ten games. On the season, they are 2-347 when playing on the road.
Over the weekend, the Marlins dropped two of three to the Los Angeles Dodgers. After taking Friday’s opener 11-3, they lost by a score of 3-1 on both Saturday and Sunday.
The MLB schedule for the San Diego Padres hasn’t been much better as of late. They have gone just 4-6 in their last 10 MLB games and are just a game over .500 at home with a 33-32 record.
Over the weekend, they dropped three of four to the Arizona Diamondbacks. In Sunday’s finale, they were blown out at home 8-1.
At 64-61, the Miami Marlins sit in third in the NL East, a whopping 17 games behind the Atlanta Braves in the MLB standings.
All is not lost for the Marlins. They sit just a game back in the MLB Wild Card standings. It is a tight race, though, as five teams sit within a game and a half of each other for the final two spots.
The San Diego Padres odds of making the postseason continue to diminish by the day. They currently sit in fourth in the NL West, 18 games behind the Los Angeles Dodgers.
In the Wild Card race, there is a little more help, but they still have a lot of work to do. They sit six games back of the last Wild Card spot.
Both of these teams have something to play for, but with the Marlins just a game back of the final Wild Card spot, every win is crucial at this point for them.
As of Monday morning, the Marlins have not officially named a starter, but it is believed to be 37-year-old righty Johnny Cueto who will be toeing the rubber. His MLB player stats show that he is 0-3 with a 5.57 ERA, 1.11 WHIP and has 26 strikeouts over 32.1 innings this season.
Out of all MLB teams, the Marlins rank 25th in scoring, averaging 4.10 runs per game (3.98 on the road). Their best hitter this season has been Jorge Soler, who has a team-leading 32 home runs, 67 runs batted in, and 67 runs scored.
Although San Diego has not lived up to the high expectations it had at the beginning of the season, there is still hope for them to make a playoff push. To do so, they have to play better at Petco Park, where they are struggling to stay above .500.
The Padres’ Michael Wacha will get the ball in this one. In terms of MLB player stats, he is 9-2 with a 2.68 ERA in 16 starts.
On the offensive side, San Diego ranks 15th out of all MLB teams in scoring, averaging 4.53 runs per game (4.21 at home). Juan Soto (24 HR, 75 RBI), Manny Machado (23 HR, 72 RBI), and Fernando Tatis Jr (20 HR, 65 RBI, 22 SB) have all had nice seasons.
The MLB injury report shows that the Marlins have several pitchers currently on the injured list. Matt Barnes (hip), Steven Okert (side), JT Chargois (ribs), and Max Meyer (elbow) are all out for this one.
The Padres are without pitchers Joe Musgrove (shoulder), Drew Pomeranz (elbow), and Luis Garcia (elbow). They are also without first baseman Ji-Man Choi (ribs).
As part of the Marlins vs Padres betting analysis, it is important to evaluate the MLB odds for this game.
As of Monday morning, the odds for this matchup have still not been posted. With neither team dominating as of late, it wouldn’t be shocking to see this one as close to a pick’em game.
Still, make sure to check closer to game time to see what the odds are for this contest.
Our Marlins vs Padres betting analysis is taking the Marlins to win this one straight up on the road. At 1-4 in their last five games, the Marlins have not been sharp as of late, but there are even bigger red flags for the Padres.
In their last 14 games, San Diego is just 4-10, and they are just 3-6 in their last nine home games. In their last six games against NL foes, they are 1-5.
Another key factor is Johnny Cueto. If he does pitch in this one, the veteran hurler has struggled at home this season at just 0-3 with a 6.29 ERA, but he has pitched better on the road with a 3.38 ERA.
In a game where neither team has dominated, there is greater value with the Marlins in this one.
In terms of the total, take the under in this one. The under has hit in six of Miami’s last seven road games, and it has hit in four of the last five games where these two have squared off at Petco Park.
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