Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs Prediction 7-6-23 MLB Picks

The Chicago Cubs and the Milwaukee Brewers meet in an NL Central division matchup in MLB action from American Family Field on Thursday. Let’s dive into the odds, starting pitching matchup, history and make a prediction for this game.

Odds

Milwaukee is listed as a -115 home favorite while the Cubs are -105 road underdogs. The total for this game is set at 8 runs.

Starting Pitching Matchup

Marcus Stroman will start for the Cubs and is 9-6 with a 2.76 ERA and 92 strikeouts this season. Milwaukee will start Freddy Peralta here, and Peralta is 5-7 with a 4.67 ERA and 97 strikeouts this season. 

Matchup History

Chicago’s 4-3 win over the Brewers on Wednesday made it back-to-back wins for the Cubs in this head-to-head matchup. 

Trends

Chicago is 5-2 in their last 7 road games and 2-7 in their last 9 games overall while the under is 9-2 in their last 11 Thursday games. Milwaukee is 5-2 in their last 7 games overall and 9-3 in their last 12 division games while the over is 5-0 in their last 5 games overall. 

Pick

I’m rolling with the under in this game. Stroman vs. Peralta is a pitching matchup worth the price of admission on its own, and I think this has all the makings of a true to form pitcher’s duel. Stroman’s been on a nice run despite stumbling in his recent outings and Peralta pitches far better at home. Add in that we have two inconsistent offenses here and I have to side with the under here.