Cubs vs. Brewers odds, prediction, time: 2023 MLB picks, Thursday, July 6 best bets from proven model
Two National League Central teams looking to make up ground will clash on Thursday afternoon as the Milwaukee Brewers (46-41) host the Chicago Cubs (40-45). Milwaukee trails Cincinnati by two games in the division, while Chicago is seven games back of the first-place Reds. This is the last of a four-game set, and the teams have split the six overall games they've played this season. On Thursday, Marcus Stroman (9-6, 2.76 ERA) will take the mound for Chicago opposite Freddy Peralta (5-7, 4.67) of Milwaukee.
The first pitch is set for 2:10 p.m. ET from American Family Field. Milwaukee is the -120 favorite (risk $120 to win $100) in the latest Brewers vs. Cubs odds from Caesars Sportsbook. The over/under for total runs scored is 8. Before making any Cubs vs. Brewers picks, be sure to
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It went 331-285 on top-rated MLB money-line picks (+357) over the past two seasons. It has excelled on top-rated run-line picks this season, going 11-2 (+604). Anybody following has seen big returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Cubs vs. Brewers and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several MLB betting lines and trends for Brewers vs. Cubs:
- Cubs vs. Brewers money line: Brewers -120, Cubs +100
- Cubs vs. Brewers run line: Cubs -1.5 (+162)
- Cubs vs. Brewers over/under: 8 runs
- CHC: The Under is 10-6 over the Cubs' last 16 games
- MIL: The Brewers are 6-2 against the spread over their last eight games
- Cubs vs. Brewers picks: See picks at SportsLine
Featured Game| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs
Why you should back the Cubs
Stroman is well-deserving of his second MLB All-Star appearance as he leads the majors in quality starts (14) while ranking eighth in ERA (2.76). He is lights-out to opposite batters as his 6.7 hits allowed per nine innings is the best mark in the National League, while he hasn't allowed a home run in each of his last seven starts. The latter will make it tough for a Brewers lineup that ranks last in the NL in slugging percentage.
At the plate, Cody Bellinger has seen a career resurgence in his first year in the Windy City. The 2019 NL MVP is on an 11-game hitting streak and is batting .415 over that stretch. Bellinger is hitting .284 on the season after combining to hit just .203 over his last three years with the Dodgers. See which team to back here.
Why you should back the Brewers
Peralta has been at his best when facing the Cubs and he's dominated Chicago's current lineup. Current Cubs batters are hitting just .176 against the pitcher with barely as many total bases (29) as strikeouts (27). Peralta is also discernibly better at home with a 3.75 ERA at American Family Field compared to a 5.82 ERA in road games.
The other former MVP in this game -- Christian Yelich -- has also been seeing the ball well as of late. The 2018 NL MVP is on a 13-game on-base streak and has posted a .996 OPS over that stretch. Power has returned to Yelich's bat this season as he has a .450 slugging percentage, compared to a .388 combined slugging percentage over the last three seasons. See which team to back here.
How to make Cubs vs. Brewers picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 9.3 combined runs. It also says one side of the money line has all of the value. You can only get the model's MLB picks at SportsLine.
