MLB Predictions & Odds 4/25/23

New York Yankees (13-10) vs. Minnesota Twins (13-10)
April 25, 2023 7:40 pm EDT
The Line: Minnesota Twins -120 / New York Yankees +100; Over/Under: +6.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The New York Yankees and the Minnesota Twins meet in MLB action from Target Field on Tuesday night. Let’s dive into the odds, starting pitching matchup, history and make a prediction for this game.

Odds

Minnesota is a -120 home favorite while the Yankees are +100 road underdogs. The total for this game is set at 6.5 runs.

Starting Pitching Matchup

Nestor Cortes will start for the Yankees here and is 3-0 with a 3.09 ERA and 22 strikeouts this season. Joe Ryan will start for the Twins and is 4-0 with a 3.24 ERA and 29 strikeouts this season.

Matchup History

Minnesota’s 6-1 win on Monday snapped the Yankees’ two-game win streak in this head-to-head matchup.

Trends

New York is 4-1 in their last 5 road games and 61-24 in their last 85 games against the AL Central while the under is 25-9 in their last 34 games overall. Minnesota is 11-2 in their last 13 home games against a left-handed starter and 2-6 in their last 8 games overall while the under is 4-0 in their last 4 games against a team with a winning record.

Pick

I’m backing the under here. I just think we have a pitcher’s duel brewing in this one. Normally it’s hard to stop the same team twice in such a short timeframe, especially when that team is one of the league’s best like these two teams are, but Joe Ryan’s been outstanding this season and Nestor Cortes Jr. has been pretty good himself. I think this ends up being a first to 3 wins kind of game. Give me the under.