NASCAR Cup Series Wurth 400 Race at Dover Predictions & Odds 2023

Odds as of April 26th at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Yes, the Hendrick Motorsports Racing driver started as a favorite again at Dover. Now, Larson is either winning races or having issues. He has only four incident-free races on the season. Those results are quite good. After that, it’s a much different story. With how the racing has been (Talladega was fun of chaos), it is hard to trust Larson when he is this short in the odds.

So, the Caesars Sportsbook odds fire in some strange differences. For one, Kyle Larson is only +450. Granted, six drivers are +1000 or shorter there. Yes, Christopher Bell, Denny Hamlin, and Martin Truex Jr are included among that six as well.

Wurth 400 Recent Winners

Springtime in the Rain Drops?

With the Hendrick car winning last year, people forgot how good the Toyota car was especially during this race. Kyle Busch led 103 laps in all but had some awful luck. Busch seems to come close at Dover then problems arise.  As a result, NASCAR Cup Series odds rides with Chevy (first four drivers now) but Christopher Bell, Joey Logano, and even Denny Hamlin are not too far behind. Picking Busch for this week is difficult at best.

Correlation is unique when it comes to Dover. It’s an interesting course where skill is essential. Laps do not quite tick off as fast one thinks they should.

Practice begins Saturday morning with a 45-minute session. Saturday qualifying begins at 11:20 am ET. Maybe.

Wurth 400 from Dover Predictions & Picks

So, Saturday seems inclement weather wise for practice and qualifying. Sunday afternoon could be interesting with a 50-50 chance of showers. Not even wet weather packages will help there. The expectation is for no heavier rains at this time.

Qualifying will be entertaining, Even Ford could snag the pole here. Mild temperatures around 70 will be tempered by a cool and more moist track.

Could Chris Buescher or Brad Keselowski come through as a flier It’s very possible. Look at how good Buescher was in qualifying last year. Anything is possible.

Like we mentioned, watch the weather. Again, this is not a washout but could still carry an impact. Taking a 0.1 unit swing at Martin Truex Jr. is reasonable.

• Top Pick:  Martin Truex Jr. to Win (+1200)
• Other Contenders: Kyle Larson (+600), Christopher Bell (+900), Denny Hamlin. (+900), Kevin Harvick (+1100)
• Longshots:  Brad Keselowski (+3500), Joey Logano (+2200), Chris Buescher (+3500)