Heat vs. Wizards Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets
Max Strus and the Miami Heat (43-37) will look to fend off Corey Kispert’s Washington Wizards (34-46) on April 7, 2023. The Heat are a 4.5-point favorite. The matchup has a point total of 217.5.
Heat vs. Wizards Odds
- Heat odds to win: -192
- Wizards odds to win: +164
- Spread: Heat (-4.5)
- Total: 217.5
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Game Time and Information
- When: Friday, April 7, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET
- Where: Capital One Arena in Washington D.C.
- TV: NBCS-DC and BSSUN
Who Will Win Heat vs. Wizards?
Heat and Wizards Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
The Heat are 5-19-1 against the spread when favored by 4.5 points or more this season.
In games this season in which they were an underdog by 4.5 points or more, the Wizards have a 15-16-2 record against the spread.
These teams average 222.5 points per game combined, 5.0 more than the over/under of 217.5.
Opponents of the two teams average a combined 6.7 more points per game, 224.2, than this matchup’s over/under of 217.5 points.
The Heat’s average point total in matchups this season is 219.1, 1.6 points higher than the over/under in this game.
The average over/under for Washington’s games this season is 10.2 more points than the point total of 217.5 in this outing.
Miami is 29-47-4 against the spread this season.
The Wizards have gone 36-41-3 ATS this season.
Heat Stats & Insights
The Heat score 109.3 points per game (30th in the NBA) and allow 109.7 (second in the league) for a -33 scoring differential overall.
The Heat fall short in the rebound battle by an average of 1.2 boards. They are recording 40.5 rebounds per game (28th in the league) compared to their opponents’ 41.7 per outing.
Miami knocks down 11.8 three-pointers per game (17th in the league), 1.4 fewer than its opponents (13.2). It is shooting 34.3% from deep (25th in the NBA) while allowing opponents to shoot 36.9%.
The Heat average 110.4 points per 100 possessions on offense (25th in the league), and give up 110.7 points per 100 possessions (ninth in the NBA).
So far in 2022-23, the Heat’s offense has been better at home, where they average 111.2 points per game, compared to on the road, where they put up 107.5 per game. On defense, they have been slightly worse when playing at home, where they concede 110.3 points per game, versus playing on the road, where they allow their opponents to average 109.2 per game.
Wizards Stats & Insights
The Wizards’ -100 scoring differential (being outscored by 1.3 points per game) is a result of putting up 113.2 points per game (20th in NBA) while allowing 114.5 per contest (17th in league).
The 43.5 rebounds per game Washington accumulates rank 14th in the NBA. Their opponents pull down 42.9.
The Wizards connect on 11.3 three-pointers per game (21st in the league) compared to their opponents’ 12. They shoot 35.8% from deep, and their opponents shoot 36.8%.
The Wizards’ 111.7 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 20th in the NBA, and the 115 points they concede per 100 possessions rank 24th in the league.
At home Washington is putting up 114.4 points per game, 2.3 more than it is averaging away (112.1).
Heat Key Players to Watch
Strus leads active Heat’s players in points and assists per game, scoring 11.7 points and distributing 2.1 assists.
Kevin Love contributes with 6.4 boards and 1.9 assists per game in addition to his 8.2 PPG scoring average.
Strus leads active Heat in three-point shooting, making an average of 2.5 shots per game from beyond the arc.
Caleb Martin has recorded one steal and 0.4 blocks per game.
Wizards Key Players to Watch
Kispert racks up 10.9 points per game. He also adds 2.8 rebounds per outing and 1.2 assists per contest.
Daniel Gafford has per-game averages of 8.9 points, one assist and 5.5 rebounds this season.
Kispert makes 2.2 treys per game.
The Wizards’ defensive efforts get a boost from Delon Wright’s 1.9 steals and Gafford’s 1.3 blocks per game.
- Pick ATS: Wizards (+ 4.5)
- Pick OU:
Over (217.5)
- Prediction:
Wizards 112 – Heat 111
