Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins Prediction 9-14-23 MLB Picks
The Miami Marlins and Milwaukee Brewers clash Thursday in game 4 of an MLB series at American Family Field. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Marlins look for a win after splitting their last 8 games. The Marlins are 0.5 games back in the NL wild card race. The Marlins pitching staff is 16th in ERA (4.21), 16th in WHIP (1.29) and 17th in quality starts (48). The Marlins' offense is 27th in runs per game (4.05), 10th in batting average (.257) and 24th in homers (147). Luis Arraez leads the Marlins with 190 hits and 64 RBI, while Bryan De La Cruz and Jorge Soler have combined for 247 hits and 144 RBI. Eury Perez gets the ball, and he is 5-4 with a 2.90 ERA and 99 strikeouts this season. This will be Perez’s first career game against the Brewers.
Miami Marlins Team Facts
- The Marlins have lost four of their last five games as road favorites against NL Central opponents following a road win.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as road favorites against NL Central opponents.
- The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games as road favorites against NL Central opponents.
- The Marlins have trailed after 7 innings in three of their last four games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
- The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Marlins' last five games as favorites.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Brewers look for a win after splitting their last 10 games. The Brewers have a 4 game lead in the NL Central. The Brewers pitching staff is 4th in ERA (3.85), 3rd in WHIP (1.19) and 6th in quality starts (64). The Brewers' offense is 18th in runs per game (4.46), 26th in batting average (.238) and 23rd in homers (147). Christian Yelich leads the Brewers with 143 hits and 70 RBI, while William Contreras and Willy Adames have combined for 241 hits and 146 RBI. Adrian Houser gets the ball, and he is 5-4 with a 4.58 ERA and 77 strikeouts this season. Houser is 2-0 with a 3.07 ERA and 24 strikeouts in his career against the Marlins.
Milwaukee Brewers Team Facts
- The Brewers have won each of their last 11 games at American Family Field following a loss.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in 13 of their last 14 games as underdogs.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in each of their last five Thursday games against the Marlins.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games as home underdogs against NL East opponents.
- The Brewers have led after 7 innings in five of their last six games as home underdogs.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Milwaukee Brewers ranks 1st in the league for opponent batting average this season (.227).
- The Milwaukee Brewers ranks 1st in the league for hits allowed this season (1095).
- The Miami Marlins ranks 28th in the league for walks this season (370).
- The Miami Marlins ranks T27th in the league for runs scored this season (591).
Randy’s Pick
It's hard to get a feel for either of these teams, that continue to be hit or miss over the last few weeks. With that said, we're getting a pick em price despite the Marlins having the edge in starting pitching. Eury Perez is a young star who has a 2.90 ERA and 1.10 WHIP with 99 strikeouts in 83.2 innings. The kid has the goods and is somebody I'm looking to back every time he takes the hill. Adrian Houser runs hot and cold with his 4.58 ERA and 1.48 WHIP. He's allowed 13 earned runs in his last 23.1 innings. Big game for both teams in their postseason chase. Give me the Marlins.
