NFL Week 10 betting: Why sharps are buying Jeff Saturday, Indianapolis Colts

The Las Vegas Raiders are 4.5-point favorites against the Indianapolis Colts. Jeff Saturday was hired as the interim head coach despite having no previous coaching experience. The Colts are 0-9 against first-half point spreads this season. Vegas has a better record but has more experience at quarterback than Indy's Sam Ehlinger. The Raiders have already tied an NFL record by blowing a 17-points lead three times this year. ESPN's Football Power Index has the margin at 13.1 points in favor of Vegas. I am laying the points.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers are 2.5-point favorites against Seattle Seahawks in Munich, Germany. The Buccaneers have the NFL's worst cover percentage (2-6-1 ATS). Tampa is 0-5 AET in its past 7 games. Seattle has a good defense and a promising offense. If the Buccaneers lose, they will become the second team in the Super Bowl era with a losing record through 10 games despite being favored in each game.

Buffalo Bills are the home favorite against Minnesota Vikings. Josh Allen is questionable with an elbow injury. The Vikings are a slight favorite at 6.5 points. Matt Barkley did not play, so only two quarterbacks are active for the game.   The game is on Sunday at 1:05 p.m. ET at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, New York.

Wise guys were heavily involved in the line movement surrounding the Vikings-Bills game. They moved the market on other games. Sharpest wagers for this NFL card are Texans +7 and +6.5, Browns +3. 5, Colts + 6.