Oklahoma City Thunder vs. San Antonio Spurs Odds, Betting Lines, Expert picks, Game Projections, DFS Projections and Player Prop Projections
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks
PropVictor Wembanyama OVER 3.5 Total Blocks + Steals -133
15-6 in Last 21 NBA Player Props Picks
Erik's Analysis:
Wemby is fun to say and fun to play. And given the fact his minutes restriction is quietly being lifted, this is a nice over play.
Pick Made:Jan 25, 1:52 am UTC
PropChet Holmgren OVER 26.5 Total Points + Assists + Rebounds -111
15-6 in Last 21 NBA Player Props Picks
Erik's Analysis:
The market is overreacting to Wemby being in the game. Wemby will have his moments (see my play on him) but we will also cash on Chet. Over.
Pick Made:Jan 24, 11:35 pm UTC
PropChet Holmgren OVER 26.5 Total Points + Assists + Rebounds -111
115-63 in Last 178 NBA Player Props Picks
Alex's Analysis:
Chet Holmgren has had an excellent rookie season but he has seen his production dip this month. I'm not concerned and think he is due for some positive regression starting tonight in what is an excellent matchup against San Antonio. The Spurs play fast and bleed a tremendous amount of production to opposing Centers. Look for Chet to have a big night and stuff the stat sheet versus Wemby and the Spurs.
Pick Made:Jan 24, 11:08 pm UTC
PropChet Holmgren OVER 26.5 Total Points + Assists + Rebounds -111
2-1 in Last 3 NBA Player Props Picks
Mackenzie's Analysis:
This is a buy low situation with a line below his season average. Chet Holmgren is recently averaging only a 24 PRA during a 7-straight under streak. The regression to the mean here would be to get back up closer to his season average of 27.
Pick Made:Jan 24, 10:54 pm UTC
PropJalen Williams OVER 18.5 Total Points -119
2-1 in Last 3 NBA Player Props Picks
Mike's Analysis:
Jalen Williams hit a game-winning shot against the Trail Blazers on Tuesday, which left him to score 19 total points. He has scored at least 19 points in 10 of his last 11 games. This is a great matchup against the Spurs, who have played at the third-fastest pace and have the sixth-worst defensive rating in the league. The last time these two teams met, Williams finished with just 11 points. That was mostly because he only logged 23 minutes in a blowout win at home. The Thunder haven’t been as dominant on the road, and this is the second game of a back-to-back set. I expect the Spurs to keep things relatively close, meaning Williams should play enough to hit this over.
Pick Made:Jan 24, 5:26 pm UTC
PropVictor Wembanyama OVER 3.5 Total Blocks + Steals -120
14-5 in Last 19 NBA Player Props Picks
Matt's Analysis:
Before Monday's game in Philadelphia, Spurs coach Gregg Popovich said he wasn't lifting Wemby's minutes restriction for that one but "maybe the next one." And I'd think if Pop wants his guy to win Rookie of the Year that it would be lifted at least a little against top competition Chet Holmgren of OKC. Wemby's blocks/steals rates are better at home.
Pick Made:Jan 24, 1:38 pm UTC
PropVictor Wembanyama OVER 3.5 Total Blocks + Steals -120
115-63 in Last 178 NBA Player Props Picks
Alex's Analysis:
Taking my favorite prop of the season after Wemby logged the most minutes he has played since December 17th. We also love the fact that the Thunder play at a top 10 pace as well. Look for Wemby to continue to pile up plenty of blocks and steals as he goes head to head with fellow ROY candidate Chet Holmgren. Lastly, Wemby's steals output/distribution is down and he is due for some positive regression there as well.
Pick Made:Jan 24, 6:22 am UTC
Oklahoma City Thunder
Saturday, Jan 27, 2024
PG
San Antonio Spurs
Wednesday, Dec 13, 2023
C
Saturday, Jan 27, 2024
C
SF
The Simulation uses parameters such as each team's statistics, expected lineups and defense-adjusted performance metrics to simulate every game 10,000 times and generate projections for the matchup. Those projections are then compared to the betting lines to create pick grades based on confidence, with "A" picks representing the biggest edge.
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