Orioles vs. Rangers Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

The Texas Rangers (31-18) will look to Marcus Semien, riding a 14-game hitting streak, against the Baltimore Orioles (33-17) at 7:05 PM ET on Friday, at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

The Rangers (+106 underdog moneyline odds) are away versus the Orioles (-127). The matchup has an over/under of 9 total runs.

The insights in what follows are based off odds valid as of May 26, 2023 at 3:15 PM ET. Ready to bet?

Orioles vs Rangers Betting Lines

Orioles Betting Insights

• The Orioles have been favorites in 24 games this season and won 19 (79.2%) of those contests.
• This season Baltimore has won 18 of its 22 games, or 81.8%, when favored by at least -127 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 55.9% chance of a victory for the Orioles.
• Baltimore’s games have gone over the total in 21 of its 43 chances.
• The Orioles have an ATS record of 28-15-0 in 43 games with a spread this season.

Orioles Last 10 Games Trend

Rangers Betting Insights

• The Rangers have been chosen as underdogs in 17 games this year and have walked away with the win 10 times (58.8%) in those games.
• This season, Texas has come away with a win six times in 12 chances when named as an underdog of at least +106 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rangers have a 48.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Texas and its opponents have gone over in 26 of its 42 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Rangers are 28-14-0 against the spread in their 42 games that had a posted line this season.

Rangers Last 10 Games Trend

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Orioles Probable Pitcher – Grayson Rodriguez

• Rodriguez and his team are 6-2-0 ATS this season when he starts.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw five innings against the Toronto Blue Jays, giving up two earned runs while allowing four hits.
• Rodriguez has started nine games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings six times. He averages 4.7 innings per appearance.
• Rodriguez’s team has won each of the four games he’s started as the moneyline favorite.
• Rodriguez’s team has won seven of his nine starts this season.
• Games Rodriguez has started this season hit the over six times in eight chances.

Orioles Relief Pitchers

Rangers Probable Pitcher – Jon Gray

• Gray (4-1) takes the mound first for the Rangers in his 10th start of the season. He’s put together a 3.02 ERA in 50 2/3 innings pitched, with 38 strikeouts.
• In his last outing on Saturday against the Colorado Rockies, the right-hander threw five innings, giving up one earned run while surrendering five hits.
• Gray will aim to go five or more innings for his seventh straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.6 innings per outing.
• The Rangers have been the underdog on the moneyline in four of Gray’s starts this season, and they went 3-1 in those matchups.
• Over Gray’s nine starts, his team is 5-4.
• Gray has had eight starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in five of those games.

Rangers Relief Pitchers

Orioles Hitting Trends

• The Orioles have a 16-8 record this season in games when they hit at least two homers.
• Baltimore has gone 13-1 in its 14 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
• The team is 23-11 in the games this season it has notched eight or more hits.
• Baltimore is 26-7 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
• The Orioles have gone 14-3 over the 17 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Rangers Hitting Trends

• They are 20-5 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
• Texas has won 11 of its 20 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
• They have a record of 34-12 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
• Texas has a 31-11 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
• They have won 12 of their 21 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Orioles vs. Rangers Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Orioles (-127)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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