Rangers vs. Astros Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

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Rangers vs. Astros Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

The Texas Rangers (50-33) and Houston Astros (45-38) meet on Sunday at 2:35 PM ET, at Globe Life Field.

The Rangers are a home favorite (-138) against the Astros (+114). The game’s over/under is set at 9.5.

The betting facts in what follows are based off odds valid as of July 2, 2023 at 3:17 AM ET. Ready to bet?

Rangers vs Astros Betting Lines

Rangers Betting Insights

  • This season, the Rangers have been favored 53 times and won 33, or 62.3%, of those games.
  • Texas has a record of 25-14 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -138 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Rangers, based on the moneyline, is 58%.
  • Texas and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 44 of 83 opportunities.
  • The Rangers are 51-32-0 against the spread this season.

Rangers Last 10 Games Trend

Astros Betting Insights

  • The Astros have been victorious in 15, or 57.7%, of the 26 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Houston has been victorious five times in 11 chances when named as an underdog of at least +114 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Astros have an implied victory probability of 46.7% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Houston and its opponents have hit the over in 41 of its 83 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Astros have an against the spread record of 42-41-0 in 83 games with a line this season.

Astros Last 10 Games Trend

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Rangers Probable Pitcher – Andrew Heaney

  • Heaney’s team is 9-6-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
  • The left-hander gave up six earned runs and allowed six hits in 5 2/3 innings pitched against the Detroit Tigers on Tuesday.
  • Heaney will look to finish five or more innings for the third start in a row.
  • He has finished three appearances without allowing an earned run in 15 chances this season.
  • Heaney’s team is 7-3 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Heaney’s team has won nine of his 15 starts.
  • Games Heaney has started this season hit the over nine times in 15 chances.

Rangers Relief Pitchers

Astros Probable Pitcher – Shawn Dubin

  • Dubin takes the mound for his first start of the season for the Astros.
  • The righty is making his MLB debut. He’s 27 years old.
  • Dubin’s team was never a moneyline underdog a season ago in games he pitched.

Astros Relief Pitchers

Rangers Hitting Trends

  • The Rangers have racked up two or more dingers in 40 games this season, and are 30-10 in those outings.
  • Texas has put up five or more extra-base hits in 30 games this season, and has gone 20-10 in those outings.
  • The team has racked up at least eight hits 71 times this season, and has a 51-20 record in those games.
  • Texas is 46-14 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Rangers have drawn five or more walks in 32 games this season, and are 20-12 in those contests.

Astros Hitting Trends

  • They have won 18 of the 25 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Houston has won 13 of its 18 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have won 45 of the 57 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Houston has a 42-7 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • In 25 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 19-6

Rangers vs. Astros Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Rangers (-138)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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