Packers vs. Falcons prediction, odds, line, spread, time: 2023 NFL picks, Week 2 best bets from proven model

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Packers vs. Falcons prediction, odds, line, spread, time: 2023 NFL picks, Week 2 best bets from proven model

A battle of unbeaten NFC teams is on tap when the Green Bay Packers (1-0) hit the road to take on the Atlanta Falcons (1-0) in a Week 2 matchup on Sunday. The Packers dominated the Chicago Bears, defeating their bitter rivals 38-20 on the road last week. The Falcons also knocked off a division rival in Week 1, defeating the Carolina Panthers 24-10. Left tackle David Bakhtiari, running back Aaron Jones, wide receiver Christian Watson, and linebacker Quay Walker are all questionable for Green Bay. Cornerback Jeff Okudah is questionable for Atlanta.

Kickoff is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Atlanta is favored by 1.5 points in the latest Falcons vs. Packers odds, and the over/under for total points scored is 40. Before making any Packers vs. Falcons picks, you need to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from the computer simulation model at SportsLine.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 163-113 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 17-6 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Falcons vs. Packers and just locked in its picks and NFL Week 2 predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Falcons vs. Packers:

  • Falcons vs. Packers spread: Falcons -1.5
  • Falcons vs. Packers over/under: 40 points
  • Falcons vs. Packers money line: Packers +112, Falcons -131
  • Falcons vs. Packers picks: See picks at SportsLine
  • Falcons vs. Packers live stream: fubo (try for free)

Why the Falcons can cover

The Falcons have one of the most explosive young offenses in the NFL. Second-year quarterback Desmond Ridder didn't perform at a game-changing level in Week 1, but he was efficient and played turnover-free football. Against the Panthers, Ridder completed 15 of 18 passes for 115 yards and 1 touchdown. 

Atlanta has one of the premier running back duos in the NFL. Rookie Bijan Robinson (56 rushing yards, 6 receptions for 27 yards, 1 TD) and second-year pro Tyler Allgeier (75 rushing yards, 2 TDs) paced the Falcons' offense in Week 1. Wide receiver Drake London, who was shockingly held to zero catches in Week 1, and tight end Kyle Pitts are among the most talented young players in the league at their respective positions. See which team to pick here.

Why the Packers can cover

The Packers started the Jordan Love era off with a bang. Green Bay dominated the Chicago Bears from start to finish notching a 38-20 win in their season opener. Love completed 15 of 27 passes for 245 yards, 3 touchdowns, and no interceptions. Love's top targets were wide receiver Romeo Doubs (4 catches, 26 yards, 2 TDs) and rookie tight end Luke Musgrave (3 catches, 50 yards).

Jones continued to produce at a high level for Green Bay in Week 1. The 28-year-old rushed for 41 yards and a touchdown on nine carries, and caught two passes for 86 yards and a touchdown. Jones is nursing a hamstring injury, but is expected to play on Sunday. See which team to pick here.

How to make Packers vs. Falcons picks

The model has simulated Falcons vs. Packers 10,000 times and the results are in. It is leaning Over on the point total, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the model's Packers vs. Falcons pick at SportsLine.