Padres vs. Nationals Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

The San Diego Padres (21-26) and Washington Nationals (20-27) clash on Tuesday at 7:05 PM ET, beginning a three-game series at Nationals Park.

The Nationals (+132 underdog on the moneyline to win) take the field at home against the Padres (-154). The game’s over/under is set at 8.

The betting insights in the article below are based off odds valid as of May 23, 2023 at 11:20 AM ET. Ready to bet?

Padres vs Nationals Betting Lines

Padres Betting Insights

• The Padres have entered the game as favorites 22 times this season and won 10, or 45.5%, of those games.
• This season San Diego has won seven of its 15 games, or 46.7%, when favored by at least -154 on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 60.6% chance of a victory for the Padres.
• So far this season, San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in nine of 39 games with a total.
• The Padres are 18-21-0 against the spread in their 39 chances this season.

Padres Last 10 Games Trend

Nationals Betting Insights

• The Nationals have been underdogs in 37 games this season and have come away with the win 16 times (43.2%) in those contests.
• Washington has a mark of 12-12 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +132 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 43.1% chance of walking away with the win.
• Washington and its opponents have gone over in 17 of its 39 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Nationals have posted a record of 27-12-0 against the spread this season.

Nationals Last 10 Games Trend

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Padres Probable Pitcher – Yu Darvish

• Darvish’s team is 3-4-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
• The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday, when he gave up four earned runs and allowed six hits in 5 1/3 innings against the Kansas City Royals.
• Darvish has eight starts in a row of five innings or more.
• Darvish’s team has won 40% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (2-3).
• Darvish’s team is 3-5 when he starts this season.
• Games Darvish has started this season hit the over one time in seven chances.

Padres Relief Pitchers

Nationals Probable Pitcher – MacKenzie Gore

• Gore makes the start for the Nationals, his 10th of the season. He is 3-3 with a 3.69 ERA and 58 strikeouts over 46 1/3 innings pitched.
• His most recent appearance came on Wednesday against the Miami Marlins, when the lefty went 5 1/3 innings, surrendering four earned runs while giving up five hits.
• Gore enters the game with six outings of five or more innings pitched this year.
• The Nationals have a 1-6 record in Gore’s seven starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
• Gore’s team has won three of his nine starts.
• Gore has started seven games with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in one of them.

Nationals Relief Pitchers

Padres Hitting Trends

• The Padres are 7-12 this season in games when they crush two or more homers.
• San Diego is 6-5 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
• The team has put up at least eight hits 22 times this season, and has a 14-8 record in those games.
• San Diego has a 16-2 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
• The Padres are 12-7 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Nationals Hitting Trends

• They’ve hit two or more homers in eight games this season and are 5-3 in those matchups.
• In eight games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 7-1.
• They have a record of 17-14 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
• Washington has a 13-6 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
• They have a 5-8 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Padres vs. Nationals Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Nationals (+132)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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