Patriots vs. Broncos NFL Player Props, Odds: Picks & Predictions

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23 December 2023

Patriots vs. Broncos NFL Player Props, Odds: Picks & Predictions

An AFC showdown closes out Sunday’s action, and our Patriots vs. Broncos NFL player props for Week 16 based on the best NFL odds at the best sportsbooks help you add to the excitement.

For the first time in over two decades, the New England Patriots are one of the worst teams in the league. At 3-11, the Pats are searching for an identity which may not include long-tenured head coach Bill Belichick next season.

Surprisingly, the Denver Broncos still have a slim shot at a seat in the playoffs. They will need to win this game to keep them alive after suffering a tough loss to the Lions last week. They are currently 7-7 and on the outside looking into the postseason.

In addition to our NFL Week 16 predictions and NFL Week 16 player props, here are our best Patriots vs. Broncos NFL player props for Week 16 (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Patriots vs. Broncos NFL player props: Week 16

Bailey Zappe longest completion Under 28.5 (+100 via ESPN Bet) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Zappe has made seven starts for the Patriots this year and has completed only one pass of at least 29 yards. In fact, he is averaging only 5.8 yards per attempt this season. Overall, his completions are going for an average of 9.7 yards. As a team, the Pats are averaging the fifth-fewest yards per pass attempt (6.1) and yards per completion (8.8) in the league.

Denver has been the victim of the long ball this season, allowing a pass of at least 29 yards in all but two of their contests. However, the Broncos are holding opposing quarterbacks to just 6 yards per pass attempt at home. What’s more, they allow an average of 9.3 yards per completion, keeping the damage of yards after the catch to a minimum.

This line at the best sportsbooksis set at 29.5 and is juiced anywhere from -110 to -115 on most NFL prop betting sites. Dropping this threshold down a yard at even money is a great way to maximize the value of this prop.

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Lil'Jordan Humphrey Over 10.5 receiving yards (-120 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

He hasn't been given many opportunities with the Broncos this season, yet whenever Humphrey is needed, he steps up. In his fourth year as a wide receiver, he's only had 14 targets and 11 receptions so far. Surprisingly, in 7 out of his 9 appearances in the 2023 season, he's exceeded these numbers. What's even more impressive is that in five of those instances, he made the most of his only catch of the game.

The Patriots are giving up an average of 223.4 passing yards per game this season. New England has allowed at least three wide receivers to eclipse this mark against them in all but one of their 14 games this year. Wideouts are actually averaging 11.9 yards per catch against the Pats in their 2023 campaign.

Zach Allen Over 0.5 sacks (+110 via ESPN Bet) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Allen has amassed 5 sacks so far this season. The Denver defensive end has accumulated at least a half of a sack in each of his last three outings. He has been credited with a full sack in three games for the Broncos this year. Allen has one career sack in two games against New England while he was a member of the Arizona Cardinals.

This week, he tees off against a Patriots offensive line that has given up 14 sacks in their last five games. In total, current New England starting quarterback Bailey Zappe has been brought down 13 times behind the line of scrimmage in his seven appearances this year. Of those, 11 have come over his last three games as a starter.

You can take the cushion of 0.25 sacks at -110 on DraftKings if it makes you more comfortable. FanDuel only offers a yes or no option, with +102 on the yes side and -132 on the negative. On the flip side, bet365 has a single Allen sack set at -115 on either side of the prop.

Patriots vs. Broncos player props made Saturday at 12:00 p.m. ET

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