Patriots vs. Broncos Parlay: SGP Odds, Predictions for Christmas Eve
Our Patriots vs. Broncos parlaypredictions based on the best NFL odds from our best sports betting apps view Denver asa motivated team that realizes it is still in the mix for a playoff spot.
Sitting at 7-7, the Denver Broncos cling to a faint hope of reentering the AFC wild-card race. Yet, their tenuous chance hinges on their upcoming game. A loss at home to the struggling New England Patriots, currently at 3-11, would effectively extinguish any remaining aspirations for a postseason berth.
Couldthis be an opportunity in prime time for Sean Payton’s team to show that lastweek’s setback was merely a fluke?
To accompany our Patriots vs. Broncos prediction, here are our best Patriots vs. Broncos parlay predictions (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a1-to-5-star scale).
Patriots vs. Broncos parlay
(Oddsvia FanDuel)
- Broncos -7.5 (+100) ⭐⭐⭐
- Over 35.5 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Russell Wilson Over 203.5 passing yards (-113) ⭐⭐⭐
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SGP predictions forPatriots vs. Broncos
Broncos -7.5 (+100) ⭐⭐⭐
Though this spread is amark the Broncos have covered in only three of their wins this season, there’snothing in the data that suggests the Patriots are as much of a threat when itcomes to covering a spread.
New England is a league-worst 3-10-1 ATS thisseason to go along with a 2-4 ATS record in road contests. Though Denver ismerely 5-8-1 ATS on the season, we’ve at least seen evidence of the Broncos’ability to win in blowout fashion on a few occasions.
The Patriotshave posted more respectable offensive numbers behind Bailey Zappe, but we’ve seenthem lose by more than this margin four times this season.
Following last week’s crushing defeat againstthe Detroit Lions, I look for Sean Payton to have his team sharp enough to keep theirplayoff hopes alive. FanDuel lists the Broncos at -7.5 with even odds whileDraftKings lists Denver with -105 odds on the same line.
Over 35.5 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Just six of the Broncos' 14 games have hit the Over this season, but only four of their contests have failed to clearthe meager 35.5-point total on this matchup. New England games are just 5-9 onOvers, with five games failing to reach the total prescribed for this game.
Though we don’t envision the Patriots keepingthings within a touchdown, it’s fair to recognize their scoring prowess hasbeen different lately. They’ve posted scoring totals of 21 and 17 over the pasttwo games behind Zappe as their starting quarterback.
Games with lofty totals have struggled to getthere this NFL season, but things are beginning to move too far in the otherdirection with numbers like this one. FanDuel lists the game total at 35.5 with-110 odds on Over. That’s a more favorable setup than the -112 odds listed onthe same number from DraftKings.
Russell Wilson Over 203.5 passing yards (-113) ⭐⭐⭐
We've seen Russell Wilson clear thispassing line only six times this year, but he has thrown for 220-plus passing yards inconsecutive games as he looks to guide the Broncos back into relevancy in theAFC playoff picture.
The Patriots are sturdy on defense but haven’t necessarily been much of a shutdown pass unit. New England ranks 16thin the NFL in pass defense, allowing 223.4 yards per game through the air.After Patrick Mahomes got them for 300-plus yards last weekend, the unit could bereeling in this road affair.
The differential in Wilson’s passing propyardage between DraftKings and FanDuel is substantial enough that it willdetermine which book we use for the SGP. At DraftKings, Wilson has 214.5 passing yards to clear. The 203.5-yard line at FanDuel - somehowwith more favorable -113 odds than the -115 odds on the higher line atDraftKings - is the obvious choice.
Patriots-Broncos parlay picks madeSunday at 3:00 a.m. ET.
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