Rangers vs. Diamondbacks prediction: World Series Game 5 picks, props

New York Post
 
Rangers vs. Diamondbacks prediction: World Series Game 5 picks, props

The Texas Rangers continue to dominate on the road in the playoffs, securing a perfect 10-0 postseason record after Tuesday night’s 11-7 victory over the Diamondbacks in Game 4 of the World Series

The Rangers are now just a win away from clinching their first-ever World Series title, and it would seem they would prefer to do so on the road.

Looking to make history Wednesday night in Arizona, the Rangers will lean heavily on Corey Seager and Nathan Eovaldi in Game 5.

Corey Seager Over 1.5 Total Bases -115 (BetMGM Sportsbook)

Throughout the season, Corey Seager has been a reliable choice for total bases, and at this point, he appears to be an automatic nightly bet for this prop.

In Game 4, he went 2-for-5 and hit his third home run of the series.

As a result, and with his team one win away from the title, Seager appears to be the clear favorite to take home World Series MVP honors. 

Zac Gallen will be on the mound for the Diamondbacks.

However, Seager has had success against Arizona’s ace, hitting .318 against him, with a double, a home run and three RBI in 22 career plate appearances.

In Game 1, Seager was 0-for-1 with two walks against Gallen before homering off closer Paul Sewald in the ninth inning to send the game to extra innings.

Even if he doesn’t record a hit against Gallen, he will likely have one or two plate appearances against the Diamondbacks’ bullpen.

Seager has hit this total-bases line in three of the four games in this series and in six of his last eight games overall. 

At this point, it’s also reasonable to consider backing him to hit a home run as well. He’s +420 on FanDuel to go deep.

Nathan Eovaldi Over 4.5 Strikeouts -120 (FanDuel)

Eovaldi has built a reputation as a clutch performer in the postseason. His 2018 performance (1.61 ERA in 22 1/3 innings) helped the Red Sox secure their most recent World Series title.

However, after returning from the IL in early September this season, he was somewhat inconsistent in the final month of the regular season, raising questions about his postseason form. 

But he answered them quickly and resoundingly in his first playoff appearance.

In Game 2 of the AL Wild Card Series, his strikeout line was set at 3.5 … and he surpassed it with eight Ks over 6 2/3 innings.

Tonight, his strikeout line is slightly higher at 4.5, and it still might be undervalued.

Eovaldi has met or exceeded this line in 21 out of 30 starts this season, a 70% hit rate.

During the postseason, he has elevated this percentage by hitting this line in four out of five starts.

In each of those four starts, he achieved at least seven strikeouts, and he managed to record four strikeouts against Houston as well.

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Furthermore, he maintained four quality starts, allowing three runs or less while working six innings in each of his first four starts.

Although Eovaldi’s streak of consecutive quality starts ended in Game 1 when he allowed five runs on six hits in 4 2/3 innings, he still had eight strikeouts. 

Eovaldi’s outs-recorded line is set at 15.5, which translates to 5 1/3 innings. This means that we are essentially asking for one strikeout per inning. 

If you want to back Eovaldi to replicate his Game 1 performance, you can take him to get seven strikeouts at +450 on PointsBet and +900 for eight strikeouts.

He has reached eight strikeouts in three of his recent postseason starts, equating to a 60% hit rate.