Raptors same-game parlay picks vs. Bucks Nov. 15: Bet on Giannis Antetokounmpo, Milwaukee at +310
The Toronto Raptors host Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Milwaukee Bucks tonight at Scotiabank Arena.
The pregame narrative: The Bucks got blown out by the Raptors in Milwaukee when these teams met a few weeks ago, but Antetokounmpo has kicked things into gear and I'm expecting him to have a night. Toronto's offence is spotty at best, and that makes the under on an alternate total a solid play.
NBA oddsas of 9:27 a.m. on 11/15/2023.
ruled out due to injury management.
Same-game parlay Raptors picks
Parlay: Bucks moneyline + Antetokounmpoover 29.5 points + Under 232.5 points(+310)
Bucks moneyline (-190): Milwaukee (6-4) enters this contest with just one more win than Toronto (5-5), but it would be foolish to consider these teams equals.
The Raptors rank 27th in offensive rating (108.1) and 29th in points per game (108.2). They were down 16 points to the lowly Washington Wizards on Monday with 7:25 left in the fourth quarter and were well on their way to an embarrassing loss.
Washington froze up, scoring just one more point in the final seven minutes, and Toronto stole a win. You could view that as a positive, but the fact that the Raptors needed a generational chokejob to beat the Wizards is indicative of where the team's really at.
The Bucks haven't been great since acquiring Damian Lillard, but the team has won four of its past six games and is averaging 116.3 points in that span. Milwaukee has won three of its past five against Toronto and I'm expecting them to dominate tonight.
Other parlay picks
Antetokounmpo over 29.5 points (-124): Antetokounmpo has been on fire the past three games. The two-time MVP is averaging 41.3 points in that span on 68.1% shooting. He scored at least 35 points in each of those games.
Toronto isn't a walkover defensively, which factors into our next pick, but the Raptors aren't elite at containing opposing power forwards. According to Fantasy Pros, the Raps allow the eighth-most points per game (24.27) to that position.
Since the start of last season, Antetokounmpo has scored 30-plus points in 44 of 73 games (60.2%).
Under 232.5 points (-182): The Raptors' offence is anemic, but the team does own the seventh-best defensive rating (108.8) in basketball. That's a recipe for plenty of unders and Toronto has gone under its game total in six of 10 games so far.
The Raptors have fallen short of this specific alternate total in seven of 10 games.
Since the start of last season, the under is 25-22 in Milwaukee's road games.
