Dodgers vs. Phillies Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

Two of the league’s best hitters will go head-to-head when the Los Angeles Dodgers (37-28) and Philadelphia Phillies (31-33) play on Sunday at 1:35 PM ET, at Citizens Bank Park. Freddie Freeman has a .336 batting average (second in league) for the Dodgers, and Nicholas Castellanos ranks fifth, hitting .310 for the Phillies.

The Dodgers are a favorite (-131) at the Phillies (+112). The over/under for this game is set at 10.5.

The insights in the following article are based off odds valid as of June 11, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet?

Dodgers vs Phillies Betting Lines

Dodgers Betting Insights

• This season, the Dodgers have been favored 53 times and won 32, or 60.4%, of those games.
• Los Angeles has entered 43 games this season favored by -131 or more and is 24-19 in those contests.
• The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 56.7% chance of a victory for the Dodgers.
• Los Angeles and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 36 of 65 opportunities.
• The Dodgers are 36-29-0 against the spread in their 65 chances this season.

Dodgers Last 10 Games Trend

Phillies Betting Insights

• The Phillies have won in 10, or 40%, of the 25 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This season, Philadelphia has been victorious four times in 14 chances when named as an underdog of at least +112 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Phillies have an implied victory probability of 47.2% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
• Philadelphia’s games have gone over the total in 27 of its 64 opportunities.
• The Phillies have posted a record of 28-36-0 against the spread this season.

Phillies Last 10 Games Trend

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Dodgers Probable Pitcher – Caleb Ferguson

• Ferguson has a record of 2-0-0 ATS in two starts with a spread this season.
• The left-hander last pitched out of the bullpen on Friday, when he threw two-thirds of an inning, giving up one earned run while allowing one hit to the Philadelphia Phillies.
• Ferguson’s team is 2-0 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
• Ferguson’s team is 2-0 when he starts this season.
• In the two games with a total started by Ferguson this season, the teams did not hit the over both times.

Dodgers Relief Pitchers

Phillies Probable Pitcher – Taijuan Walker

• The Phillies will send Walker (5-3) to make his 14th start of the season. He is 5-3 with a 5.04 ERA and 53 strikeouts in 64 1/3 innings pitched.
• The right-hander last appeared on Tuesday against the Detroit Tigers, when he threw seven scoreless innings while giving up two hits.
• Walker heads into the matchup with seven outings of five or more innings pitched this year.
• In two of his appearances this season he did not surrender an earned run.
• The Phillies are 2-3 in Walker’s five starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
• Walker’s team has won eight of his 13 starts.
• Walker has had 13 starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in six of those matchups.

Phillies Relief Pitchers

Dodgers Hitting Trends

• The Dodgers are 28-10 this season in games when they send out at least two long balls.
• Los Angeles is 16-9 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
• The team is 31-12 in the games this season it has strung together at least eight hits.
• Los Angeles is 33-10 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
• The Dodgers have drawn at least five walks in 33 games this season, and are 23-10 in those contests.

Phillies Hitting Trends

• They are 12-6 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
• In 16 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 12-4.
• They have a record of 26-17 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
• In 27 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 23-4.
• They have a 15-5 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Dodgers vs. Phillies Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Dodgers (-131)
Over/Under Pick: Under (10.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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