Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

The Philadelphia Phillies (56-49) visit the Miami Marlins (57-49) in NL East play, at 6:40 PM ET on Monday.

The Phillies are a tight favorite (-116 moneyline odds) when they play the Marlins (-104). The total for this game is set at 8.

The betting facts in the following article reference odds valid as of July 31, 2023 at 5:24 AM ET. Ready to bet?

Phillies vs Marlins Betting Lines

Phillies Betting Insights

• The Phillies have won 39, or 58.2%, of the 67 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• Philadelphia has entered 59 games this season favored by -116 or more and is 35-24 in those contests.
• The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 53.7% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
• Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 44 of 105 opportunities.
• The Phillies are 44-61-0 ATS in their 105 games with a spread this season.

Phillies Last 10 Games Trend

Marlins Betting Insights

• The Marlins have come away with 24 wins in the 53 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, Miami has come away with a win 21 times in 49 chances when named as an underdog of at least -104 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 51% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Miami and its opponents have gone over in 50 of its 106 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• In 106 games with a line this season, the Marlins have a mark of 48-58-0 against the spread.

Marlins Last 10 Games Trend

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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Taijuan Walker

• Walker and his team have a record of 13-8-0 against the spread when he starts.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Tuesday, when he threw 5 2/3 innings against the Baltimore Orioles, giving up two earned runs while allowing six hits.
• Walker will look to finish five or more innings for the 10th start in a row.
• In 21 appearances this season, he has finished three without allowing an earned run.
• Walker’s team is 11-3 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
• In games Walker has started, his team is 15-6.
• Games started by Walker have an 8-12-1 record at hitting the over this season.

Phillies Relief Pitchers

Marlins Probable Pitcher – Edward Cabrera

• Cabrera (5-6 with a 4.74 ERA and 90 strikeouts in 74 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Marlins, his 16th of the season.
• In his last appearance on Tuesday, the right-hander tossed two innings against the Tampa Bay Rays, giving up three earned runs while surrendering four hits.
• Cabrera has pitched five or more innings in a game 10 times this season entering this outing.
• In one of his 16 total appearances this season he has not given up an earned run.
• The Marlins have a 3-6 record in Cabrera’s nine starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
• In Cabrera’s 15 starts, his team is 8-7.
• Cabrera’s starts went over the run total six times in 15 games with a set total this season.

Marlins Relief Pitchers

Phillies Hitting Trends

• The Phillies have racked up two or more long balls in 30 games this season, and are 22-8 in those contests.
• Philadelphia has had at least five extra-base hits in 24 games this season, and has gone 18-6 in those outings.
• The club has totaled at least eight hits 69 times this season, and has a 44-25 record in those games.
• Philadelphia is 39-7 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
• The Phillies are 24-11 over the 35 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Marlins Hitting Trends

• They’ve hit two or more homers in 32 games this season and are 13-19 in those matchups.
• In 19 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 18-1.
• They have won 47 of the 84 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
• Miami has won 39 of its 50 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
• They have a 12-11 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Marlins (-104)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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