Red Sox vs. Angels odds, prediction, line: 2022 MLB picks, Thursday, May 5 best bets from proven model

The Boston Red Sox welcome the Los Angeles Angels to Fenway Park for a getaway game on Thursday. The winner of the game will take the series. Los Angles is a money-line favorite at Caesars Sportsbook. SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times and it's on a 28-13 roll on top-rated MLB money line picks through four weeks.

SportsLine's proven model has made its MLB picks and MLB predictions for Thursday, May 5. Boston Red Sox are 4-5 in home games against Los Angeles Angels.

Red Sox vs. Angels is a Thursday, May 5 game. The money line is $130, the over-under is 8 runs.

Los Angeles has the best offense in the American League in 2022. Los Angeles is also one of the top two teams in home runs (32), slugging percentage (417), and OPS (739). Boston ranks in bottom five of AL in several offensive categories. Boston is deploying an elite pitcher in Shohei Ohtani.

Red Sox have a home-field advantage in this game. Boston leads the American League with 51 doubles. The Red Sox are also in the top five of the AL in strikeout avoidance. Left-hander Rich Hill takes the ball for Boston. Hill has a 3.71 ERA across four starts during the 2022 season. Los Angeles has the second-most strikeouts in American league this season, behind Boston's.

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the run total and projects 9.7 combined runs. One side of the money line has all the value.