Twins vs. Tigers odds, prediction, line: 2022 MLB picks, Thursday, June 2 best bets from proven model

Twins vs. Tigers is a Thursday afternoon game at 1:10 p.m. ET. The Twins are -130 money line favorites. Detroit has won three of the first four games in the series. Minnesota is 30-22 this season, while Detroit is 6-2 in its last 8 games. SportsLine's advanced computer simulation model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It's on a 48-31 roll on top-rated MLB money-line picks through eight weeks.

SportsLine's advanced model has set its sights on Twins vs. Tigers and has made its picks and MLB predictions. Twins are 13-11 in road games and Detroit is 14-15 at home.

Twins are 13-11 in road games and 14-15 in home games.

Minnesota has the superior offense in this matchup. The Twins lead the American League with a .322 on-base percentage and have scored 222 runs this season. Detroit has been the worst offensive team in the AL, scoring only 143 runs. Chris Archer has a career 3.57 ERA against the Tigers.

Detroit's team ERA is 3.48, the team's relievers are No. 2 in the American League with a 2.88 combined ERA. The team is near the top of the league in wins above replacement and ground ball rate from relief pitchers. Minnesota's starting pitcher is struggling, but the Twins are dead-last in American league with only 10 stolen bases.

SportsLine's model is leaning under on the run total and it says one side of the money line has all the value.