Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

The Boston Red Sox (57-51) host the Toronto Blue Jays (60-50) in AL East play, at 7:10 PM ET on Friday.

The Blue Jays (+135 underdog moneyline odds to win) are away versus the Red Sox (-161). The contest has an over/under of 10.

The betting trends in the following article are based off odds valid as of August 4, 2023 at 5:16 AM ET. Ready to bet?

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Betting Lines

Red Sox Betting Insights

• The Red Sox have won 27, or 55.1%, of the 49 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• Boston has entered 10 games this season favored by -161 or more and is 5-5 in those contests.
• The Red Sox have a 61.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Games involving Boston has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 56 of 108 chances this season.
• The Red Sox are 56-52-0 against the spread in their 108 chances this season.

Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend

Blue Jays Betting Insights

• The Blue Jays have won in 16, or 51.6%, of the 31 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• Toronto has won all of its three games in which it was named as at least a +135 moneyline underdog.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Blue Jays have a 42.6% chance of pulling out a win.
• Toronto and its opponents have hit the over in 45 of its 110 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Blue Jays have an against the spread mark of 51-59-0 in 110 games with a line this season.

Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend

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Red Sox Probable Pitcher – James Paxton

• Paxton and his team have a record of 6-8-0 against the spread when he starts.
• The left-hander’s last start was on Saturday, when he tossed five innings while giving up one earned run on eight hits in a matchup with the San Francisco Giants.
• Paxton has pitched five or more innings in two straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• He has made 13 appearances and finished two of them without allowing an earned run.
• Paxton’s team has been victorious in 30% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 3-7.
• Paxton’s team has won seven of his 13 starts.
• In Paxton’s 14 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over eight times.

Red Sox Relief Pitchers

Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Alek Manoah

• Manoah (2-8) takes the mound first for the Blue Jays in his 18th start of the season. He’s put together a 5.87 ERA in 76 2/3 innings pitched, with 68 strikeouts.
• The righty last appeared on Saturday against the Los Angeles Angels, when he tossed 4 1/3 innings, allowing one earned run while giving up four hits.
• Manoah has pitched five or more innings in a game seven times this season entering this matchup.
• He has made two appearances this season in which he did not surrender an earned run.
• The Blue Jays have been the underdog on the moneyline in six of Manoah’s starts this season, and they went 1-5 in those matchups.
• Manoah’s team has won seven of his 17 starts.
• Manoah has had 17 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in 11 of those outings.

Blue Jays Relief Pitchers

Red Sox Hitting Trends

• The Red Sox have hit two or more home runs in 35 games this season, and are 25-10 in those contests.
• Boston has racked up five or more extra-base hits in 34 games this season, and has gone 25-9 in those contests.
• The team has collected eight or more hits 78 times this season, and has a 48-30 record in those games.
• Boston is 47-10 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
• The Red Sox have gone 13-10 in the 23 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Blue Jays Hitting Trends

• They are 25-12 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
• Toronto has gone 15-5 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
• They have a record of 53-29 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
• In 55 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 42-13.
• They have a 17-10 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Red Sox (-161)
Over/Under Pick: Under (10)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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