Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction 8-4-23 MLB Picks

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04 August 2023

The Toronto Blue Jays and the Boston Red Sox meet Friday in MLB action from Fenway Park. Toronto just finished up against the Orioles, losing two of the first three games. In the Thursday finale the Blue Jays lost by five to drop the series. As for Boston, they lost two of three to the Mariners in their last series. Check back all season long for free MLB picks at Sports Chat Place.

Toronto Blue Jays

The Jays fell 4-2 and 13-3 in their first two games versus the Orioles this week, but bounced back for a 4-1 win on Wednesday thanks in part to an RBI and a run from George Springer. On Thursday Toronto was out-hit 15-5 in a rough 6-1 loss. The lone RBI came courtesy of Vladimir Guerrero, and Whit Merrifield added two hits.

For the starter job in the Friday opener, the Jays are sending out James Paxton. This year in 17 starts Paxton is 2-8 with a 5.87 ERA and 68 Ks in 76.2 innings. Paxton has gone 1-4 with a 7.27 ERA overs last seven starts, giving up 21 earned in 26.0 innings total.

Toronto Blue Jays Team Facts

The Blue Jays have won each of their last five games as underdogs following a loss.
The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in each of their last five Friday night games as underdogs.
The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Blue Jays' last four games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
The Blue Jays have led after 7 innings in each of their last six Friday games as underdogs.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

Danny Jansen has hit at least one home run in four of his last five appearances with the Blue Jays as underdogs against AL East opponents.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Blue Jays' last six road games against the Red Sox.
Kevin Kiermaier has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine appearances against the Red Sox after playing the previous day.
Alek Manoah has recorded five or more strikeouts in 13 of his last 14 road appearances against AL opponents.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Blue Jays' last eight games as underdogs against the Red Sox.
Matt Chapman has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays' last seven road games.

Boston Red Sox

Over on the Boston side, they were able to power out a 6-4 win over the Mariners on Tuesday but fell in the other two games 6-2 and 6-3. In Wednesday’s loss, Red Sox OF Jarren Duran notched a two-run homer, and Masataka Yoshida added an RBI on a 1-for-4 outing. The Sox pen gave up six earned runs in just 3.0 innings during a rough game.

In the starter slot for the Red Sox on Friday it’ll be James Paxton. Across his 13 starts this year Paxton is 6-2 with a 3.34 ERA and 80 Ks in 70.0 innings. Paxton is 4-1 over his last seven starts with a 3.55 ERA and 15 earned in 38.0 innings.

Boston Red Sox Team Facts

The underdogs have won each of the last seven games between the Blue Jays and Red Sox.
The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last seven games against the Blue Jays.
The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in each of their last 10 Friday games.
The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three games as favourites against American League opponents.
The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Red Sox's last five games as favourites.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

Triston Casas has scored at least one run in each of his last eight home appearances.
James Paxton has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances in night games.
Masataka Yoshida has hit a home run in two of the Red Sox's last three home games against the Blue Jays.
Masataka Yoshida has recorded at least one RBI in each of his six previous appearances against the Blue Jays.
Triston Casas has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox's last 11 night games.
Triston Casas has recorded at least one total base in each of the Red Sox's last 11 night games.
Masataka Yoshida ranks 8th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.305) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

The Boston Red Sox ranks 1st in the league for doubles this season (238).
The Boston Red Sox ranks 3rd in the league for hits this season (974).
The Toronto Blue Jays ranks 2nd in the league for strikeouts this season (1049).
The Toronto Blue Jays are one of only 3 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and on-base percentage this season.

ANDREW’S FREE PICK

I’ll stay with the Red Sox in this one. Most of that is due to Paxton being on the mound; he’s doing well over his last two starts. In that pair Paxton is 1-0 with three earned on 11 hits and three walks in 11.0 innings. Boston hasn’t been too bad lately when it comes to putting up runs: they’ve got three or more in 10 of their last 12 games. The bullpen needs to hang on in this one though, and that’s no guarantee either. Still, a return back to Fenway after a long road trip (six games) could be just what the Red Sox need.