Red Sox vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

The Arizona Diamondbacks (29-21) are looking for Lourdes Gurriel Jr. to continue a 13-game hitting streak against the Boston Red Sox (26-24), on Friday at 9:40 PM ET, at Chase Field.

The Red Sox are the road favorite (-142) versus the Diamondbacks (+122). The game’s total is set at 9.

The insights in what follows use the latest odds as of May 26, 2023 at 3:15 PM ET. Ready to bet?

Red Sox vs Diamondbacks Betting Lines

Red Sox Betting Insights

• The Red Sox have been favorites in 12 games this season and won seven (58.3%) of those contests.
• Boston has not entered a game this season with shorter moneyline odds than -142.
• The implied probability of a win from the Red Sox, based on the moneyline, is 58.7%.
• Boston’s games have gone over the total in 26 of its 43 chances.
• The Red Sox are 26-17-0 against the spread in their 43 chances this season.

Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend

Diamondbacks Betting Insights

• The Diamondbacks have been victorious in 13, or 61.9%, of the 21 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Arizona has been victorious six times in 12 chances when named as an underdog of at least +122 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 45% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Arizona’s games have gone over the total in 21 of its 42 opportunities.
• The Diamondbacks have an against the spread mark of 24-18-0 in 42 games with a line this season.

Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend

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Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Chris Sale

• Sale’s team is 4-3-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
• The left-hander gave up two earned runs in seven innings pitched on Sunday in his last outing, a matchup with the San Diego Padres.
• Sale has pitched five or more innings in six straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• When Sale starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 1-2.
• In games Sale has started, his team is 6-3.
• In Sale’s seven starts with a total, the teams have hit the over three times.

Red Sox Relief Pitchers

Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Brandon Pfaadt

• Pfaadt (0-1) gets the starting nod for the Diamondbacks in his fifth start of the season. He’s put together a 7.65 ERA in 20 2/3 innings pitched, with 14 strikeouts.
• His last time out was on Saturday against the Pittsburgh Pirates, when the righty tossed 5 1/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up six hits.
• Pfaadt will try to prolong a four-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.0 innings per appearance).
• The Diamondbacks have played while the underdog on the moneyline for three of Pfaadt’s starts this season, and they won all of the games.
• Pfaadt’s team is 3-1 over his four starts.
• Pfaadt has started four games with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in one of them.

Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers

Red Sox Hitting Trends

• The Red Sox have a 12-7 record this season in games when they belt two or more homers.
• Boston has gone 10-6 in its 16 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
• The club is 20-16 in the games this season it has notched at least eight hits.
• Boston is 23-7 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
• The Red Sox are 9-7 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Diamondbacks Hitting Trends

• They’ve hit two or more homers in 22 games this season and are 16-6 in those matchups.
• In 17 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 13-4.
• In 41 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 31-10.
• Arizona has a 30-6 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
• In 22 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 11-11

Red Sox vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Diamondbacks (+122)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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