Red Sox vs. Orioles odds, line, prediction, start time: 2023 MLB Opening Day picks, best bets by proven model
The Boston Red Sox begin life after Xander Bogaerts when they host the American League East-rival Baltimore Orioles in the 2023 MLB season opener for both teams on Thursday. Bogaerts, who was a four-time All-Star and won two World Series titles while spending the first 10 years of his career with Boston, opted out of his contract in November and signed a massive 11-year deal with the San Diego Padres a month later. The Red Sox occupied the AL East basement last season with a 78-84 record, while Baltimore finished above .500 for the first time in six years at 83-79.
First pitch from Fenway Park is set for 2:10 p.m. ET. Boston is a -125 favorite (risk $125 to win $100) on the money line in the latest Red Sox vs. Orioles odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Baltimore is a +105 underdog, while the over/under for total runs scored is 9. Before making any Orioles vs. Red Sox picks, .
This model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It went 331-285 on top-rated MLB money-line picks (+357) over the past two seasons, and it finished the 2022 MLB season on a 20-14 roll. Anyone who has followed it has seen profitable returns.
Now, the model has dialed in on Red Sox vs. Orioles and revealed its predictions and best bets. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's MLB picks. Here are the MLB odds and betting trends for Orioles vs. Red Sox:
- Red Sox vs. Orioles money line: Boston -125, Baltimore +105
- Red Sox vs. Orioles over/under: 9 runs
- Red Sox vs. Orioles run line: Boston -1.5
- BOS: The Red Sox won their final six home games in 2022, including three against Baltimore
- BAL: The Orioles lost five of their last six overall meetings with Boston last year
- Red Sox vs. Orioles picks: See picks at SportsLine
Featured Game| Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles
Why you should back the Red Sox
Boston finished 2022 with a losing record for the first time in six full campaigns but still won the season series with the Orioles, going 10-9 overall and 6-4 at home. The Red Sox will miss Bogaerts' offensive production, but they still have one of the most feared hitters in the game in Rafael Devers. A two-time All-Star, the 26-year-old Dominican third baseman recorded 27 home runs and 87 RBI in 141 games last year but had more than 30 blasts and 110 RBI in each of his previous two full seasons.
Boston also added several key players during the offseason, including 2017 NLCS MVP Justin Turner, 2021 NL RBI leader Adam Duvall and Masataka Yoshida, a two-time batting champion in Japan's Pacific League. The 29-year-old Yoshida, who posted a .350 average for Orix in 2020 and hit .339 the following season, set a World Baseball Classic record earlier this month by registering 13 RBI for Japan. The Red Sox also have a Rookie of the Year candidate in first baseman Triston Casas, who posted five homers and 12 RBI in 27 games last campaign and batted .333 with four blasts and 10 RBI this spring. Another newcomer is RHP Corey Kluber, a two-time Cy Young winner who is 4-1 with a 3.53 ERA in seven career starts at Fenway.
Why you should back the Orioles
Baltimore got off to a rough start in 2022 but began to turn things around in July with a 10-game winning streak and finished three games behind Tampa Bay for the final AL wild-card spot. The Orioles own the third-best Opening Day winning percentage in major-league history as they are 71-49-1 since the franchise debuted in 1901. The club won eight consecutive season openers from 2011-18 and posted a 3-1 victory at Boston in 2021.
Anthony Santander is coming off the best season of his career as he recorded 33 homers and 89 RBI last year. Another key member of Baltimore's lineup is catcher Adley Rutschman, who had a solid rookie campaign in 2022 and batted .310 with four blasts and a 1.015 OPS during spring training. The Orioles also will have a newcomer on the mound Thursday in Kyle Gibson, a 35-year-old righty who has registered a 1.57 ERA and 0.63 WHIP in four outings at Fenway Park.
How to make Red Sox vs. Orioles picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the run total, as the simulations have the teams combining for 9.6 runs. It also says one side of the money line has all of the value. You can only get the model's pick at SportsLine.
