Cubs vs. Brewers prediction, odds, line: 2022 MLB picks, July 4 best bets from proven baseball model

Milwaukee Brewers host the Chicago Cubs on Monday at 4:10 p.m. ET. Milwaukee is the money-line favorite and Chicago is a +122 underdog. The over-under for total runs scored is 8.5. SportsLine's advanced computer model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times and has profitable returns. It is 271-232 on top-rated MLB money line picks since the start of the 2021 season.

Milwaukee Brewers host Chicago Cubs. Milwaukee is favored by 1.5 runs. Chicago is favoured by 33 runs over their last five road games. SportsLine's advanced MLB prediction model has picked the Brewers.

Cubs vs. Brewers is a July 4 game. Milwaukee has won four of the last seven meetings between the teams. Chicago has scored 33 runs in their last five road games.

The Cubs won't have to deal with Hunter Renfroe, who is 6-for-22 with three home runs and five RBIs against them this season. Christian Yelich is on a 12-game hitting streak and has been Milwaukee's best hitter against Chicago's Justin Steele. Rowdy Tellez is tied for first on the Brewers with 16 home Runs and leads the team with 53 RBI.

Patrick Wisdom leads the team with 17 home runs and 45 RBIs. Nico Hoerner has hit safely in 10 of his last 11 games. Steele is unbeaten in six starts and has yielded three or fewer runs on five occasions. He picked up the win against Cincinnati on Wednesday.

SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total and projects eight combined runs. One side of the money line has all the value.