Sabres vs Maple Leafs Prediction NHL Picks 3/6/24

Toronto Maple Leafs (35-18-8) vs Buffalo Sabres (29-29-4)

Game Info: Wednesday, March 6, 2024 at 7:00 pm (Scotiabank Arena)

Betting Odds: Toronto Maple Leafs -192 / Buffalo Sabres +155 --- Over/Under: 6.5

The Buffalo Sabres look for a win after winning 5 of their last 7 games. The Toronto Maple Leafs look to stay hot after winning 9 of their last 11 games. Here’s a Buffalo Sabres vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction.

Buffalo Sabres Betting Preview

The Buffalo Sabres recently beat the Golden Knights and Lightning while losing to the Jets. The Buffalo Sabres are averaging 2.94 goals per game and are scoring on 7 percent of their power play opportunities. Jeff Skinner leads Buffalo with 20 goals, Casey Mittlelstadt has 33 assists and Rasmus Dahlin has 182 shots on goal. Defensively, the Buffalo Sabres are allowing 3 goals per game and are killing 78.8 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Devon Levi has given up 62 goals on 571 shots faced, while Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen has allowed 89 goals on 91,03073 shots. The Sabres will meet the Predators, Oilers, and Red Wings after this one.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs recently beat the Rangers and Coyotes while losing to the Bruins. The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.61 goals per game and are scoring on 27.8 percent of their power play opportunities. Auston Matthews leads Toronto with 53 goals, William Nylander has 50 assists and John Tavares has 210 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 3.16 goals per game and are killing 77.7 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Ilya Samsonov has allowed 85 goals on 724 shots faced, while Martin Jones has given up 50 goals on 537 shots.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• Morgan Rielly has recorded an assist in each of his last seven appearances with the Maple Leafs as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Auston Matthews has scored at least one goal in each of the Maple Leafs' last three games against the Sabres.
• Morgan Rielly has recorded a point in each of his last seven appearances with the Maple Leafs as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Auston Matthews ranks 1st in the league for Goals (53) this season.

Buffalo Sabres Player Prop Facts

• Alex Tuch has scored at least one goal in four of the Sabres' last five games against the Maple Leafs.
• Alex Tuch has recorded at least one point in each of the Sabres' last six games against the Maple Leafs.
• Rasmus Dahlin has recorded at least one assist in six of the Sabres' last seven games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Rasmus Dahlin ranks 1st in the Atlantic Division for average time on ice (25:47) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 2nd in the league for goals per game this season (3.61).
• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 2nd in the league in power play percentage this season (27.75%).
• The Buffalo Sabres rank 26th in the league in power play percentage this season (16.95%).
• The Buffalo Sabres rank 32nd in the league for Period 1 goals allowed per game this season (1.18).

Buffalo Sabres vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction

The Toronto Maple Leafs are going to get the benefit of the doubt at home, and they're the more talented team overall. I get it. However, the Buffalo Sabres have quietly won 5 of their last 7 games and their defense has really stepped up. The Sabres have also won 15 games on the road, and they've owned the Maple Leafs in the last 3 meetings. In fact, the Sabres have outscored the Maple Leafs 19-10 in the last 3 meetings. Again, the Leafs should be favored, but we're getting 1.5 times our money with a Sabres team that's played well over the last two weeks. Give me the road dog.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.