Stars vs Maple Leafs Prediction NHL Picks 2/7/24

Toronto Maple Leafs (25-15-8) vs Dallas Stars (30-13-6)

Game Info: Wednesday, February 7, 2024 at 7:00 pm (Scotiabank Arena)

Betting Odds: Toronto Maple Leafs -130 / Dallas Stars +106 --- Over/Under: 6.5

The Dallas Stars are riding a 4-game winning streak. The Toronto Maple Leafs look for a win after splitting their last 8 games. Let’s preview this game and give out a Dallas Stars vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction.

Dallas Stars Betting Preview

The Dallas Stars beat the Red Wings, Ducks, Capitals, and Sabres during this streak. The Dallas Stars are averaging 3.69 goals per game and are scoring on 22.6 percent of their power play opportunities. Roope Hintz leads Dallas with 22 goals, Jason Robertson has 33 assists and Joe Pavelski has 125 shots on goal. Defensively, the Dallas Stars are allowing 3.06 goals per game and are killing 82.9 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Jake Oettinger has allowed 81 goals on 813 shots faced, and Scott Wedgewood has given up 64 goals on 634 shots.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs recently beat the Jets and lost to the Islanders. The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.42 goals per game and are scoring on 25 percent of their power play opportunities. Auston Matthews leads Toronto with 40 goals, William Nylander has 39 assists and John Tavares has 180 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 3.17 goals per game and are killing 77.8 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Ilya Samsonov has allowed 61 goals on 504 shots faced, while Martin Jones has given up 41 goals on 459 shots.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• Auston Matthews has scored at least one goal in five of the Maple Leafs' last six night games.
• Morgan Rielly has recorded at least one point in each of his last 10 appearances against the Stars.
• Morgan Rielly has recorded at least one assist in each of his last six home appearances against the Stars after playing less than 20 minutes in the Maple Leafs' last game.
• Auston Matthews ranks 1st in the league for Goals (40) this season.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

• Matt Duchene has scored a goal in each of the Stars' last three games.
• Matt Duchene has recorded at least one point in each of the Stars' last six games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Miro Heiskanen has recorded at least one assist in seven of his last eight appearances on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• Roope Hintz ranks T2nd in the Central Division for Plus/Minus (+20) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 8th in the league in power play percentage this season (25.00%).
• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 3rd in the league for Period 2 goals scored per game this season (1.25).
• The Dallas Stars rank 3rd in the league for goals per game this season (3.66).
• The Dallas Stars rank 8th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (82.69%).

Dallas Stars vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction

The Dallas Stars and the plus money is intriguing given their success on the road, which includes a 14-5-4 record. However, I'd need more bang for my buck to pull the trigger. The Toronto Maple Leafs are the more talented team, and they've owned the Stars, which includes wins in 5 straight meetings and wins in 8 of the last 10 meetings. The Maple Leafs outscored the Stars 8-1 in the last two meetings. The Maple Leafs scored 3 or more goals in 8 of the last 10 meetings against the Stars. I'm going off home ice and history between the Stars and Maple Leafs. Give me Toronto. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.