Kings vs. Nuggets Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets

Nikola Jokic’s Denver Nuggets (52-29) will look to earn an upset of De’Aaron Fox and the Sacramento Kings (48-33) on April 9, 2023. The Kings are a 5-point favorite. A 230-point over/under has been set for the matchup.

Kings vs. Nuggets Odds

• Kings odds to win: -200
• Nuggets odds to win: +168
• Spread: Kings (-5)
• Total: 230

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Game Time and Information

• When: Sunday, April 9, 2023 at 3:30 PM ET
• Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado
• TV: ALT and NBCS-CA

Who Will Win Kings vs. Nuggets?

Kings and Nuggets Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Kings are 12-11 against the spread when favored by 5 points or more this season.

In games they have played as at least 5-point underdogs this season, the Nuggets are 6-2 against the spread.

Between them, these two teams average 6.9 more points per game (236.9) than this matchup’s over/under (230).

Sacramento and Denver have seen its opponents average a combined 0.9 more points per game than the over/under of 230 set in this matchup.

The Kings’ average point total in matchups this season is 239.2, 9.2 points higher than the total in this game.

The average point total for Denver this year is 1.4 points fewer than this game’s over/under.

Sacramento’s ATS record is 45-35-1 this season.

The Nuggets have gone 43-36-2 ATS this season.

Kings Stats & Insights

The Kings average 121 points per game (first in the league) while allowing 118.2 per outing (26th in the NBA). They have a +231 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 2.8 points per game.

The Kings average 42.5 rebounds per game (20th in the league) compared to the 42.1 of their opponents.

Sacramento hits 13.8 three-pointers per game (fifth-most in the league) at a 37% rate (ninth-best in the NBA), compared to the 12.5 per game its opponents make at a 37.4% rate.

The Kings rank first in the league by averaging 117.2 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 22nd in the NBA, allowing 114.1 points per 100 possessions.

So far in the 2022-23 campaign, the Kings score 4.8 more points per home game on average than on the road (123.4 at home, 118.6 on the road), and are also conceding 3.9 more points per home game compared to road games (120.1 at home, 116.2 on the road).

Nuggets Stats & Insights

The Nuggets are outscoring opponents by 3.2 points per game, with a +259 scoring differential overall. They put up 115.9 points per game (11th in NBA) and allow 112.7 per outing (10th in league).

Denver wins the rebound battle by two boards on average. It collects 42.9 rebounds per game, 19th in the league, while its opponents grab 40.9.

The Nuggets connect on 11.9 three-pointers per game (17th in the league) compared to their opponents’ 11.4. They shoot 38% from deep, and their opponents shoot 34.6%.

The Nuggets average 116.4 points per 100 possessions (second in league), while giving up 113.1 points per 100 possessions (19th in NBA).

At home Denver is scoring 119.7 points per game, 7.5 more than it is averaging away (112.2).

Kings Key Players to Watch

The Kings get 19.2 points, 12.4 rebounds and 7.3 assists from Domantas Sabonis.

Fox averages 25.2 points per game to go with 4.2 rebounds and 6.2 assists.

Keegan Murray leads active Kings in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 2.6 shots per game from beyond the arc.

Fox averages 1.2 steals per game, while Murray has 0.5 blocks per contest.

Nuggets Key Players to Watch

Jokic is having a strong season overall, putting up 24.5 points per game, 11.8 rebounds per game, and 9.8 assists per game.

Michael Porter Jr. makes three treys per game.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope’s 1.5 steals and Aaron Gordon’s 0.8 blocks per game are key to the Nuggets’ defensive production.

• Pick ATS: Nuggets (+ 5)
• Pick OU:

  Over (230)
  

• Prediction:
  Nuggets 119 – Kings 115