Saints vs Packers picks: 3 best player props

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Saints vs Packers picks: 3 best player props

The New Orleans Saints look to remain unbeaten and improve to 3-0 as they take on the Green Bay Packers. Lambeau Field will play host to the pivotal NFC showdown as the visitors return to the storied ground for the first time since 2017. Oddsmakers don't like the Saints (+1) to repeat that result, but they have some advantages in key areas. 

The game is set to kick off at noon CT. Fox will carry the broadcast with Kenny Albert and Jonathan Vilma on the call. 

Caesars Sportsbook, the official odds partner of Bet.NOLA.com, is favoring the hosts but some matchups could see the Saints surprise bettors. Let's take a closer look at three player props that we like in this game:

Derek Carr OVER 234.5 passing yards (+106 at Caesars Sportsbook)

The Saints will have two inexperienced running backs, Tony Jones Jr. and Kendre Miller, carrying the rock in this contest. Thus, there will likely be an over-reliance on the passing game with Derek Carr under center. Carr's averaged 266.5 passing yards per game already this season and many believe he can be better.

If there's a week for Carr to break out for the first time in the black and gold, it's this week. The Packers' pass defense ranks 17th in the NFL. Green Bay has given up an average of 226.5 yards per game through the air to two of the NFL's weaker passers (Justin Fields and Desmond Ridder). Carr will have a field day as long as his offensive line can hold up.

Michael Thomas OVER 53.5 receiving yards (-108 at Caesars Sportsbook)

Michael Thomas has started the season fairly well as he looks to have established an early connection with Carr. He's hauled in 12 catches and quickly racked up over 110 total yards with games of 55 and 61 yards. Thomas is nothing if not consistent when healthy, so we like him to go over his 53.5 receiving yards player prop for that reason.

Similarly, Thomas will look to be Carr's go-to target with two-time Pro Bowl cornerback Jaire Alexander likely mirroring Chris Olave. As I mentioned in the first prop play, I believe New Orleans will have a lot of success in the air — Thomas will be a key part of that.

Jordan Love OVER 0.5 interceptions (-121 at Caesars Sportsbook)

Jordan Love has been one of the storylines of the season thus far. He's managed to navigate a mistake-free first few starts (no interceptions), but he hasn't seen a defense quite like the Saints' yet. New Orleans is one of the trickiest defenses to play against for opposing signal-callers.

Even veteran quarterbacks struggle to get clean reads against Dennis Allen's defensive schemes, as evidenced by Ryan Tannehill throwing three interceptions in Week 1. I think this is the week that Love finally gets picked off against one of the NFL's best pass defenses (No. 7), despite Marcus Maye's absence.