San Antonio Spurs vs. Orlando Magic Prediction, Preview, and Odds
The Orlando Magic will face the San Antonio Spurson Wednesday at Frost Bank Center. Tip-off is at 8:00 p.m. ET.
The Magic are 5.5-point spread favorites and the game total is 228 points.
Orlando (24-23 SU, 30-17 ATS, and 22-25 O/U) lost 131-129 to Dallas on Monday. The Magic are 9-16 SU and 15-10 ATS on the road this season.
San Antonio (10-37 SU, 23-24 ATS, and 26-19-2 O/U) lost 118-113 to Washington on Monday. The Spurs are 5-18 SU and 11-12 ATS at home.
Injury Report
Magic: PG Markelle Fultz (knee) is probable.
Spurs: PF Zach Collins (ankle) is questionable.
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The Magic are an elite defensive team
Orlando averages 111.7 points per game (25th) on 46.8 percent shooting (21st), including 34.4 percent from beyond the arc (30th). It converts 75.5 percent of its free-throw attempts (27th) and averages 43.1 rebounds (20th), 24.6 assists (27th), and 14.5 turnovers (23rd) per game.
The Magic give up 111.2 points per game (6th), and their opponents shoot 47.7 percent (18th), including 36.1 percent from downtown (12th), with 41.3 rebounds per game (4th). The Magic average 5.3 blocks (14th), 8.1 steals (3rd), and 21.4 fouls (27th).
Orlando ranks 24th in offensive rating, 4th in defensive rating, and 21st in pace (schedule-adjusted), per Dunks and Threes.
The Spurs rank 3rd in assists per game
San Antonio scores 112.9 points per game (23rd) on 46.2 percent shooting (25th), including 34.6 percent from deep (29th). It knocks down 78.4 percent of its free-throw attempts (14th) and averages 43.0 rebounds (21st), 29.5 assists (3rd), and 14.7 turnovers (25th) per game.
The Spurs surrender 121.4 points per game defensively (26th), and their opponents shoot 49.0 percent overall (24th), including 38.8 percent from three-point range (27th), with 46.2 rebounds per game (29th). SA averages 5.9 blocks (8th), 7.3 steals (19th), and 18.4 fouls (5th) per game.
San Antonio ranks 27th in offensive rating, 24th in defensive rating, and 4th in pace (schedule-adjusted), per Dunks and Threes.
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Best Bets for this Game
Full-Game Side Bet
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Betting Trends: The Magic are 19-6 ATS (76.0%) with one day off, the highest ATS winning percentage in the NBA. Orlando is also 11-6 ATS (64.7%) vs. Western Conference teams and 10-4 ATS (71.4%) as favorites this season.
San Antonio has played well enough recently to keep this game competitive, but I don't feel confident it will for four quarters. Orlando is 1-2 SU in its last three, but the win came over Phoenix (by 15 points), and the two losses were by three combined points. I believe the Magic will find their footing on the road at San Antonio tomorrow, turning Wednesday's game into an ugly one for the home team.
San Antonio's weak defense will make Orlando's offense look elite, allowing the Magic to pull away early. The home team ranks 28th in opponent eFG%, including 27th in opponent 3PT%. Orlando attempts the highest frequency of rim field goals in the league, so an advantage from long range will make it even more challenging to defend.
Prediction: Orlando -5.5
Full-Game Total Pick
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The Spurs are a high-tempo team, but they figure to struggle to score often enough on Wednesday against the stout Magic defense. Orlando will challenge San Antonio to score at the rim, as the Spurs are inefficient from mid-range (25th) and long-range (29th). The Magic also rank third in steals and the Spurs average nearly 15 turnovers. If San Antonio struggles to take care of the basketball, the slower-paced visitors (21st in pace) will be able to dictate the style of play, leading to a lower-scoring defensive game.
Prediction: Under 228
I jumped into sports betting headfirst due to an irresistible call to action. I am a sports writer by trade, earning my B.A. in Journalism with a sports reporting concentration from Michigan State in 2012. With my journalism background, I combine thorough research with a keen eye for hidden value to generate consistent profits for my clients. In my free time, I enjoy talking "shop" with like-minded people. This allows me to see different angles and avoid traps that derail my progress. In short, their insight and intuition assist or deter my decision-making process. The pitfalls to avoid in sports gambling are following the crowd, assumptions, gullibility, and lack of accountability. A bettor is never as hot or cold as their best and worst streaks. By dedicating yourself to obtaining knowledge, you will never feel like you know it all. At its core, sports betting is about intuition. When you can predict which way the wind will blow, you will never feel caught up in the current stream. Sometimes you need to be counterintuitive. Risk is in the mind of the beholder, but when you bet with me, you'll find that the reward justifies the wager!
