San Antonio Spurs vs. Miami Heat Prediction, Preview, and Odds

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San Antonio Spurs vs. Miami Heat Prediction, Preview, and Odds

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It’s an interconference clash between a team well outside the playoff picture and one fighting to stay in the mix in their respective playoff race down in South Beach. The San Antonio Spurs are on the road as they make the trip to take on the Miami Heat on Wednesday night. San Antonio fell 117-101 at home by Cleveland in their previous contest Saturday, failing to cover the line as a 10.5-point underdog. Miami was at home against Orlando in a Southeast Division matchup Tuesday night. The Heat fell 103-95 at home to the Clippers Sunday in their previous game, failing to cover the line as a five-point underdog. In the all-time regular season series between the teams, the Spurs own a 45-27 advantage but the Heat have won the last two matchups. That includes a 118-113 road win in the first meeting this season on November 12, 2023. This article was published before the conclusion of the Heat's game with Orlando Tuesday night.

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San Antonio Spurs Looking to Earn Win in Start of Rodeo Trip

San Antonio kicks off their nine-game road trip that spans both sides of the All-Star break as the annual Rodeo trip gets underway. The Spurs were knocked off by Cleveland at home Saturday, leaving them 10-40 on the season, leaving them last in the Southwest Division, 19 games behind the Pelicans for the top spot. They are last in the Western Conference, 25 games behind the Thunder and Timberwolves for the top spot, 19 games behind the Suns for the final guaranteed playoff spot and 14.5 games behind the Jazz for the final playoff spot. Against Cleveland, San Antonio trailed by five after the opening quarter before getting outscored 37-20 in the second quarter to trail by 22 at the half. The Spurs were down as many as 26 in the second half en route to the loss. San Antonio shot 36.7% from the field, including 12 of 40 from three-point range, and held a 54-51 edge on the glass in the loss. Devin Vassell led the Spurs with 22 points and six rebounds in the defeat.

— San Antonio Spurs (@spurs) February 4, 2024

For the year, the Spurs are 24 in the league in scoring offense as they average 112.3 points per game on the year. San Antonio is 13 in rebounding by grabbing 43.4 boards a night while they are third in the league in assists by handing out 29.3 dimes per contest. The Spurs are 26 in the league in scoring defense as they give up an average of 120.9 points per game. Rookie Victor Wembanyama leads the team with 20.4 points plus 10.3 rebounds and 3.1 blocks this season. Keldon Johnson is third on the team with 16.7 points and 5.9 rebounds per game this season. Devin Vassell (18.7 points), Zach Collins (12.1 points, 5.7 rebounds) and Jeremy Sochan (11.5 points, 6.2 boards, 3.7 assists) are solid secondary scoring options. Tre Jones, Cedi Osman, Doug McDermott, Charles Bassey and Blake Wesley are other rotation pieces for coach Gregg Popovich. San Antonio is 26 in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 46% from the floor on the year. The Spurs are 15 in threes per game as they connect on 12.5 triples a night while they are 30 in three-point percentage by shooting 34.2% from beyond the arc.

Bassey (knee) is done for the year. Sidy Cissoko (ankle) last played on December 29 and is without a timetable to return.

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Miami Heat Trying to Gain Ground in Eastern Conference Playoff Chase

Miami was in action against Orlando Tuesday night at home in a battle of the top two teams in the Southeast Division. The Heat entered that game 26-24 on the season and stood second in the Southeast Division, one game behind the Magic for the top spot. They were eighth in the Eastern Conference playoff picture, 12 games behind the Celtics for the top spot, 1.5 games behind the Pacers for the final guaranteed playoff spot and 5.5 games ahead of the Nets to remain in the play-in tournament field. Miami is 2-4 in the second game of back-to-back situations this season with a -11-ppg scoring margin (104.5 ppg for, 115.5 ppg against) in those games. The Heat entered Tuesday 13-12 at home with a -1.3-ppg scoring differential (112.9 ppg for, 114.2 ppg against) on the year. Miami is 7-9 against Western Conference foes with a -2.8-ppg scoring margin (107.3 ppg for, 110.1 ppg against) this season.

— Miami HEAT (@MiamiHEAT) February 5, 2024

The Heat enters this one 27 in the league in scoring offense with 110.1 points per game this season. Miami is 24 in the league in rebounding with 42 boards a contest while the team stands 21 in assists by dishing out 25.7 dimes a night. The Heat stands 7 in the league in scoring defense as they allow 111.2 points per game. Jimmy Butler is leading the team with 21.5 points, 5.2 rebounds and 4.3 assists per contest. Tyler Herro kicks in 21 points plus 5.4 boards a night while Bam Adebayo chips in 20.4 points plus 10.7 rebounds per contest. Duncan Robinson (13.2 points), Kyle Lowry, Josh Richardson (10 points), Kevin Love (9.1 points), Terry Rozier (21 points, 6.4 assists), Thomas Bryant, Jaime Jaquez Jr. (13.1 points), Caleb Martin (10.2 points) and Haywood Highsmith are solid role players for the Heat. Miami is 27 in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 46% from the floor this season. The Heat stands 16 in threes per game by draining 12.3 triples per contest and the team is 9 in three-point shooting by hitting 37.3% from beyond the arc.

Robinson (concussion) missed the last three games and was questionable Monday. Watch for any information about his status here.

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Best Bets for this Game

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Miami is playing for the second straight night and their third game in four nights here against a San Antonio team that is well-rested as they haven’t played since Saturday. With that said, the Heat didn’t have to travel at all as they were home for the loss to the Clippers ahead of the tilt with the Magic on Tuesday night. San Antonio has had all kinds of problems slowing down opposing teams on the defensive end of the floor this season, as the numbers bear out. The Spurs are 24th in field goal percentage defense (48.9%), 22nd in threes allowed per game (13.5), 27th in three-point defense (38.3%) and 26th in scoring defense. Miami may be fatigued but the Spurs are just 5-19 on the road this season. Look for the Heat to come up with the home victory here as they gain some ground in the Eastern Conference playoff picture.

Prediction: Miami Heat -7.5

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San Antonio entered Sunday’s action having gone over the number in 26 of their 50 games, with two pushes, this season. The Spurs are 26th in the league in turnovers as they commit an average of 14.8 per contest. San Antonio stands fourth in the league in tempo as they average 101.6 possessions per game on the year. Miami entered Tuesday’s game having seen the under post a 30-20 record so far in their 50 games this season. The Heat currently stand 11th in the league in turnovers per game by committing 13.1 turnovers per contest while they are 27th in the league in tempo by averaging 96.8 possessions a night on the year. With Miami being gassed and the Spurs being a below average offensive unit, even with their fast tempo, this game likely ends up falling short of the total.

Prediction: Under 224.5

Chris King has been immersed in the world of professional and collegiate sports for more than three decades. Whether it's playing pickup games or being involved in organized sports to being a fan, he's checked all the boxes. From the NFL to arena football, the NHL to the KHL, the NBA to the WNBA to college hoops, and even MLB to the KBO.  If it's out there, he's covered it and bet on it as well, as Chris has been an expert bettor in his career.  Before joining Winners and Whiners back in 2015, his work appeared around the internet and in print. He's written books for Ruckus Books about college basketball, the NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, golf, and the World Cup. If you're looking for the inside track on hitting a winner, do yourself a favor and read what Chris has to say.